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Stevenage vs Forest Green

Broadhall Way, Stevenage21 October 2017 at 15:00
Referee: Lee Collins

Match Events

Stevenage
Forest Green
Kick Off
Jonathan Smith21′
M. Godden

assist: T. Vancooten

43′
Half Time
K. WoottonD. Newton
46′
61′
R. Brown
B. KennedyA. Samuel
63′
73′
C. Doidge

assist: K. Marsh-Brown

D. GormanJ. King
78′
79′
K. Marsh-BrownOmar Bugiel
81′Alex Iacovitti
83′Dale Bennett
Jack King90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal3
11Total Shots8
2Blocked Shots2
6Shots insidebox2
5Shots outsidebox6
16Fouls10
9Corner Kicks2
8Offsides3
48%Ball Possession52%
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves4
0Total passes0
0Passes accurate0
0Passes %0

Lineups

Defensive Solidity

Stevenage deploy 3 defenders rated — on average, against Forest Green's 6-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Stevenage field 6 midfielders averaging —, versus Forest Green's 3 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Stevenage start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Forest Green averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Stevenage4-4-23-5-2Forest Green
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Fryer25Henry3Martin5Franks2Smith17Gorman10Kennedy11Pett20Vancoot.24Godden9Wootton1Collins3Laird5Collins2Bennett16Fitzwat.20Iacovit.34Osbourne4Traoré7Marsh-B.10Brown9Doidge

Substitutes

Coach: D. Sarll

Substitutes

Coach: M. Cooper

StevenagePosition StrengthForest Green
Stevenage4-4-2
1GoalkeeperJ. Fryer
25DefenderR. Henry
3DefenderJ. Martin
5DefenderF. Franks
2MidfielderJ. Smith
17MidfielderD. Gorman
10MidfielderB. Kennedy
11MidfielderT. Pett
20MidfielderT. Vancooten
9MidfielderK. Wootton
24ForwardM. Godden
Forest Green3-5-2
1GoalkeeperB. Collins
3DefenderS. Laird
5DefenderL. Collins
2DefenderD. Bennett
16DefenderJ. Fitzwater
20DefenderA. Iacovitti
7DefenderK. Marsh-Brown
34MidfielderI. Osbourne
4MidfielderD. Traoré
10MidfielderR. Brown
9ForwardC. Doidge

Match Summary

Forest Green defeated Stevenage 2:1. The match was played in League Two 2017. Goals were scored by M. Godden 43′, R. Brown 61′, C. Doidge 73′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Stevenage had 48% possession while Forest Green held 52%. Stevenage had 11 shots (4 on target) compared to 8 (3 on target) for Forest Green. Stevenage made 3 substitutions, Forest Green made 1.

Rivalry since 2018

Stevenage vs Forest Green Head to Head Results

9 stretnutí
Stevenage
1
wins
Drawn
3
Forest Green
5
wins
Total goals
16 · 1.8/match
Both scored
1/9 · 11%
Over 2.5
3/9 · 33%

Recent Form

Stevenage

WDWDLW

Forest Green

LWLWDW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Forest Green dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Stevenage1wins
3draws10 meetings
Forest Green6wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.9

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

20%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (51%) — the odds may underestimate Forest Green.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 51.0%Draw 28.4%Away 24.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.933.204.00
Max2.003.784.20
Market favourite:Stevenage · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market50.6%25.8%23.6%
Public market49.9%27.0%23.1%
Δ0.7%1.2%0.5%

Stevenage vs Forest Green — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Forest Green
Result vs. Market: Stevenage (51%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

StevenageHalf-time:10Forest Green
11Shots8
4Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
01/01/22Forest Green2–0Stevenage1.57/4.04/5.76
18/09/21Stevenage0–4Forest Green3.21/3.24/2.27
02/03/21Stevenage3–0Forest Green3.08/3.12/2.45
17/10/20Forest Green1–0Stevenage1.68/3.79/4.98
26/12/19Stevenage0–0Forest Green3.00/3.31/2.39
21/09/19Forest Green0–0Stevenage2.00/3.55/3.87
26/01/19Stevenage0–2Forest Green3.82/3.67/1.94
21/08/18Forest Green0–0Stevenage2.34/3.32/3.21
13/02/18Forest Green3–1Stevenage2.51/3.34/2.93
21/10/17Stevenage1–2Forest Green1.96/3.53/4.11

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Stevenage

W 155D 130L 165
Over 2.544
Goals scored533

Away Record: Forest Green

W 100D 69L 97
Over 2.546
Goals scored343

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026