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Luton vs Forest Green

Kenilworth Road, Luton28 April 2018 at 15:00
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Luton

31
Referee: Lee Collins

Match Events

Luton
Forest Green
Kick Off
James Collins9′
D. Hylton

assist: J. Collins

20′
Danny Hylton25′
Half Time
53′
C. Doidge

assist: R. Brown

Alan McCormack59′
60′
D. GrubbR. Reid
63′
C. ClementsC. Cooper
66′Lee Collins
J. CollinsH. Cornick
82′
85′
R. BrownT. Campbell
O. Lee

assist: P. Ruddock

86′
P. Ruddock
89′
Pelly Ruddock90′
90′Gavin Gunning
A. McCormackS. Cuthbert
90′
Full Time

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Luton is 7.20, compared to — for Forest Green. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Luton's highest-rated starter is J. Shea (7.20), while Forest Green's best-rated player is —.

Defensive Solidity

Luton deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Forest Green's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Luton field 3 midfielders averaging —, versus Forest Green's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Luton start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Forest Green averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Age & Experience

The average age of Luton's starting XI is 34.0 (youngest: J. Shea (34), oldest: J. Shea (34)), while Forest Green average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Luton's starters average 20 league appearances each, versus 0 for Forest Green. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

LutonPosition StrengthForest Green
7.20
Avg Rating
7.20Goalkeeper (1 v 1)
0G 0A0G 0A
Luton
36GoalkeeperJ. Shea7.2
44DefenderA. Sheehan
3DefenderD. Potts
16DefenderG. Rea
7DefenderJ. Stacey
4MidfielderA. McCormack
8MidfielderO. Lee
17MidfielderP. Ruddock
9ForwardD. Hylton
19ForwardJ. Collins
38ForwardE. Lee
Forest Green
30GoalkeeperC. Belford
3DefenderS. Laird
5DefenderL. Collins
16DefenderG. Gunning
20DefenderF. Rawson
32MidfielderH. Hollis
34MidfielderI. Osbourne
22MidfielderC. Clements
8MidfielderD. Grubb
10MidfielderR. Brown
9ForwardC. Doidge

Match Summary

Luton defeated Forest Green 3:1. The match was played in League Two 2017. Goals were scored by D. Hylton 20′, C. Doidge 53′, O. Lee 86′, P. Ruddock 89′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Luton made 2 substitutions, Forest Green made 3.

Rivalry since 2011

Luton vs Forest Green Head to Head Results

8 stretnutí
Luton
4
wins
Drawn
3
Forest Green
1
wins
Total goals
24 · 3.0/match
Both scored
5/8 · 63%
Over 2.5
4/8 · 50%

Recent Form

Luton

WWWDWW

Forest Green

LWLWDW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Luton dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Luton2wins
0draws2 meetings
Forest Green0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (67%) — the odds may underestimate Luton.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 69.3%Draw 22.0%Away 12.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.444.207.50
Max1.454.758.00
Market favourite:Luton · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market66.9%20.7%12.4%
Public market67.4%20.4%12.1%

Luton vs Forest Green — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Luton
Result vs. Market: Luton (69%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

LutonHalf-time:10Forest Green
11Shots9
8Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
28/04/18Luton3–1Forest Green1.44/4.55/7.77
16/12/17Forest Green0–2Luton6.12/4.23/1.56

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Luton

W 96D 67L 67
Over 2.546
Goals scored339

Away Record: Forest Green

W 100D 69L 97
Over 2.546
Goals scored343

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026