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Carlisle vs Swindon Town

8 February 2020 at 15:00Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
Referee: G. Salisbury

Match Summary

Carlisle and Swindon Town drew 1:1. The match was played in League Two 2019.

Rivalry since 2012

Carlisle vs Swindon Town Head to Head Results· 15

Carlisle and Swindon Town have met 15 times — Carlisle won 6, Swindon Town won 6, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. A combined 47 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.13 per match (21 for the home side, 26 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 9 matches (60%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 games (73%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–5 in 2025.

Drawn
3
·
Total goals
47 · 3.1/match
Both scored
9/15 · 60%
Over 2.5
11/15 · 73%

Recent Meetings

01/02/25League Two
Match Details
21/09/24League Two
Match Details
11/03/23League Two
Match Details
13/08/22League Two
Match Details
19/02/22League Two
Match Details
14/08/21League Two
Match Details
10/08/19League Two
Match Details
09/03/19League Two
Match Details
17/11/18League Two
Match Details
07/04/18League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 15 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Carlisle have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Swindon Town show 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Carlisle5wins
2draws10 meetings
Swindon Town3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.3

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 5.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 25.8%Draw 28.1%Away 51.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.803.491.91
Max4.023.601.99
Over 2.5: 55.6%Under 2.5: 50.0%
Market favourite:Swindon Town · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market24.0%27.6%48.4%
Public market25.0%26.4%48.7%
Δ1.0%1.2%0.2%

Carlisle vs Swindon Town — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Swindon Town (51%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CarlisleHalf-time:01Swindon Town
11Shots9
4Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

1 Feb 202524/252.58/3.25/2.72
21 Sept 202424/251.98/3.50/3.65
11 Mar 202322/232.85/3.23/2.54
13 Aug 202222/232.55/3.30/2.82
19 Feb 202221/223.25/3.41/2.20
14 Aug 202121/222.83/3.24/2.50
8 Feb 202019/203.87/3.56/1.95
10 Aug 201919/201.91/3.61/3.97
9 Mar 201918/192.47/3.48/2.85
17 Nov 201818/192.12/3.55/3.50

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Away Record: Swindon Town

W 200D 108L 142
Over 2.555
Goals scored677

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026