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Forest Green vs Carlisle

22 January 2022 at 15:00The Fully Charged New Lawn, Nailsworth, Gloucestershire
Referee: C. Hicks

Match Summary

Forest Green defeated Carlisle 3:0. The match was played in League Two 2021.

Rivalry since 2017

Forest Green vs Carlisle Head to Head Results· 13

Forest Green and Carlisle have met 13 times — Forest Green won 4, Carlisle won 6, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2017. Carlisle leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 13 meetings. A combined 33 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.54 per match (14 for the home side, 19 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (54%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (46%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2025.

Drawn
3
·
Total goals
33 · 2.5/match
Both scored
7/13 · 54%
Over 2.5
6/13 · 46%

Recent Meetings

14/02/26National League
Match Details
18/10/25National League
Match Details
02/10/21League Two
Match Details
02/02/21League Two
Match Details
19/12/20League Two
Match Details
28/01/20League Two
Match Details
10/12/19FA Cup
Match Details
30/11/19FA Cup
Match Details
17/09/19League Two
Match Details
16/03/19League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 42 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Forest Green have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Carlisle show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (56%) — the odds may underestimate Carlisle.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

22 Jan 202221/221.67/3.66/5.50
Match Details
2 Oct 202121/223.43/3.38/2.11
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2 Feb 202120/211.83/3.69/4.28
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19 Dec 202020/212.62/3.11/2.85
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28 Jan 202019/201.63/3.93/5.83
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17 Sept 201919/202.40/3.37/3.06
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16 Mar 201918/191.83/3.69/4.32
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24 Nov 201818/193.02/3.42/2.40
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27 Jan 201817/181.80/3.72/4.61
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23 Dec 201717/184.11/3.50/1.93
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 60.0%Draw 27.3%Away 18.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.653.525.00
Max1.693.755.75
Over 2.5: 48.8%Under 2.5: 57.1%
Market favourite:Forest Green · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market56.4%27.1%16.6%
Public market57.9%25.5%16.6%
Δ1.5%1.6%

Forest Green vs Carlisle — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Forest Green
Result vs. Market: Forest Green (60%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Forest GreenHalf-time:10Carlisle
20Shots7
9Shots on target1

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Forest Green

W 100D 69L 97
Over 2.546
Goals scored343

Away Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026