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Swindon Town vs Gillingham

28 January 2023 at 15:00The County Ground, Swindon, Wiltshire
Referee: P. Howard

Match Summary

Swindon Town and Gillingham drew 3:3. The match was played in League Two 2022.

Rivalry since 2011

Swindon Town vs Gillingham Head to Head Results· 19

Swindon Town and Gillingham have met 19 times — Swindon Town won 4, Gillingham won 7, with 8 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Gillingham leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 19 meetings. A combined 48 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.53 per match (21 for the home side, 27 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 10 matches (53%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (42%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Swindon Town are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2024.

Drawn
8
·
Total goals
48 · 2.5/match
Both scored
10/19 · 53%
Over 2.5
8/19 · 42%

Recent Meetings

17/03/26League Two
Match Details
01/01/26League Two
Match Details
26/04/25League Two
Match Details
26/10/24League Two
Match Details
13/02/24League Two
Match Details
24/10/23League Two
Match Details
03/09/22League Two
Match Details
13/03/21League One
Match Details
05/12/20League One
Match Details
28/02/17League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 22 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Swindon Town have recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats. Gillingham show 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Swindon Town3wins
5draws10 meetings
Gillingham2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (52%) — the odds may underestimate Gillingham.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 54.2%Draw 29.3%Away 22.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.833.304.33
Max1.853.504.83
Over 2.5: 46.5%Under 2.5: 59.9%
Market favourite:Swindon Town · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market52.1%27.9%20.0%
Public market51.8%27.1%21.1%
Δ0.3%0.8%1.1%

Swindon Town vs Gillingham — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Swindon Town (54%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Swindon TownHalf-time:13Gillingham
21Shots12
8Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

17 Mar 202625/263.00/3.30/2.25
1 Jan 202625/262.01/3.40/3.40
25/10/1111/121.87/3.45/4.04
26 Apr 202524/252.72/3.36/2.49
26 Oct 202424/252.26/3.25/3.17
13 Feb 202423/241.78/3.79/4.29
24 Oct 202323/241.84/3.71/4.22
28 Jan 202322/231.84/3.42/4.55
3 Sept 202222/232.61/3.26/2.75
21/04/1211/123.05/3.30/2.29

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Swindon Town

W 200D 108L 142
Over 2.555
Goals scored677

Away Record: Gillingham

W 140D 106L 122
Over 2.540
Goals scored446

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026