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Milton Keynes Dons vs Barrow

5 April 2025 at 15:00Stadium MK, Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire

Match Summary

Barrow defeated Milton Keynes Dons 3:0. The match was played in League Two 2024.

Rivalry since 2023

Milton Keynes Dons vs Barrow Head to Head Results· 5

Milton Keynes Dons and Barrow have met 5 times — Milton Keynes Dons won 1, Barrow won 2, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2023. Barrow leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 5 meetings. A combined 10 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (5 for the home side, 5 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (40%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (40%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2023.

Drawn
2
·
2
wins
Total goals
10 · 2.0/match
Both scored
2/5 · 40%
Over 2.5
2/5 · 40%

Recent Meetings

03/04/26League Two
Match Details
09/08/25League Two
Match Details
11/02/25League Two
Match Details
03/02/24League Two
Match Details
14/10/23League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 22 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Milton Keynes Dons have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats. Barrow show 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

33%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
6 meetings
3
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (37%) — the odds may underestimate Barrow.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

3 Apr 202625/261.37/4.50/7.50
Match Details
9 Aug 202525/262.53/3.31/2.70
Match Details
5 Apr 202524/252.48/3.22/2.81
Match Details
11 Feb 202524/252.04/3.32/3.75
Match Details
3 Feb 202423/242.35/3.37/3.00
Match Details
14 Oct 202323/242.09/3.46/3.54
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 7.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 40.3%Draw 31.0%Away 35.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.403.152.80
Max2.563.302.82
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 58.8%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market36.8%29.9%33.4%
Public market38.7%28.1%33.2%
Δ1.9%1.7%0.2%

Milton Keynes Dons vs Barrow — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Barrow
Result vs. Market: Milton Keynes Dons (40%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Milton Keynes DonsHalf-time:01Barrow
16Shots12
7Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Milton Keynes Dons

W 138D 62L 76
Over 2.553
Goals scored450

Away Record: Barrow

W 83D 71L 122
Over 2.543
Goals scored303

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026