Menu

Bristol Rovers vs Milton Keynes Dons

11 October 2025 at 15:00Memorial Stadium, Bristol

Match Summary

Milton Keynes Dons defeated Bristol Rovers 4:0. The match was played in League Two 2025.

Rivalry since 2016

Bristol Rovers vs Milton Keynes Dons Head to Head Results· 12

Bristol Rovers and Milton Keynes Dons have met 12 times — Bristol Rovers won 5, Milton Keynes Dons won 5, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. A combined 26 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.17 per match (12 for the home side, 14 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (17%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (25%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2016.

Total goals
26 · 2.2/match
Both scored
2/12 · 17%
Over 2.5
3/12 · 25%

Recent Meetings

04/02/23League One
Match Details
13/12/22EFL Trophy
Match Details
11/10/22League One
Match Details
20/04/21League One
Match Details
26/12/20League One
Match Details
01/01/20League One
Match Details
12/10/19League One
Match Details
03/03/18League One
Match Details
28/10/17League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2016

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Bristol Rovers have recorded 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. Milton Keynes Dons show 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

25%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Milton Keynes Dons dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
4 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (37%) — the odds may underestimate Milton Keynes Dons.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

27 Jan 202625/261.53/3.90/5.75
Match Details
11 Oct 202525/262.43/3.13/2.89
Match Details
19/08/0606/071.69/3.31/4.46
17/02/0706/072.39/3.16/2.64

Market Summary

Margin: 7.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 41.2%Draw 31.9%Away 34.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.323.072.85
Max2.543.202.93
Over 2.5: 48.8%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market37.1%30.7%32.2%
Public market39.4%28.6%32.1%
Δ2.3%2.2%0.1%

Bristol Rovers vs Milton Keynes Dons — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Milton Keynes Dons
Result vs. Market: Bristol Rovers (41%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Bristol RoversHalf-time:01Milton Keynes Dons
6Shots13
1Shots on target7

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Bristol Rovers

W 161D 103L 150
Over 2.548
Goals scored535

Away Record: Milton Keynes Dons

W 138D 62L 76
Over 2.553
Goals scored450

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026