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Nottingham Forest vs Southampton

8 May 2023 at 20:00The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire

Match Summary

Nottingham Forest defeated Southampton 4:3. The match was played in Premier League 2022.

Rivalry since 2011

Nottingham Forest vs Southampton Head to Head Results· 5

Nottingham Forest and Southampton have met 5 times — Nottingham Forest won 3, Southampton won 2, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Nottingham Forest leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 5 meetings. A combined 15 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (7 for the home side, 8 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (40%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (60%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Nottingham Forest are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2025.

Total goals
15 · 3.0/match
Both scored
2/5 · 40%
Over 2.5
3/5 · 60%

Recent Meetings

14/01/12Championship
Match Details
10/09/11Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Nottingham Forest have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Southampton show 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.5

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Nottingham Forest dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (45%) — the odds may underestimate Nottingham Forest.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

19 Jan 202524/251.39/4.76/7.92
Match Details
24 Aug 202424/252.55/3.33/2.87
Match Details
8 May 202322/232.12/3.53/3.45
Match Details
4 Jan 202322/232.05/3.44/3.79
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 4.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 47.1%Draw 28.3%Away 29.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.103.403.40
Max2.173.603.50
Over 2.5: 49.3%Under 2.5: 53.5%
Market favourite:Nottingham Forest · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market44.8%27.0%28.2%
Public market45.4%26.5%28.1%

Nottingham Forest vs Southampton — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Nottingham Forest
Result vs. Market: Nottingham Forest (47%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Nottingham ForestHalf-time:31Southampton
9Shots19
4Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Nottingham Forest

W 98D 87L 121
Over 2.548
Goals scored378

Away Record: Southampton

W 269D 243L 408
Over 2.549
Goals scored1086

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026