21 April 2017 at 18:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Heerenveen dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.4
Average goals per game
80%
Games with 3+ goals
80%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (60%) — the odds may underestimate Heerenveen.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.1%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.60 | 3.75 | 4.60 |
| Max | 1.63 | 4.17 | 5.79 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 59.8% | 23.4% | 16.8% |
| Public market | 57.9% | 25.0% | 17.1% |
| Δ | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
Heerenveen vs Willem II — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/2524/25 | Heerenveen | 3–1 | Willem II | 1.46/4.47/7.41 |
| 08/12/2424/25 | Willem II | 1–2 | Heerenveen | 2.44/3.24/2.94 |
| 05/03/2221/22 | Willem II | 0–0 | Heerenveen | 2.46/3.31/2.90 |
| 21/11/2121/22 | Heerenveen | 2–1 | Willem II | 1.98/3.59/3.69 |
| 13/03/2120/21 | Willem II | 3–1 | Heerenveen | 2.70/3.57/2.44 |
| 12/09/2020/21 | Heerenveen | 2–0 | Willem II | 2.55/3.56/2.64 |
| 13/12/1919/20 | Heerenveen | 1–2 | Willem II | 1.71/4.07/4.42 |
| 03/03/1918/19 | Heerenveen | 4–2 | Willem II | 1.85/3.79/3.96 |
| 08/12/1818/19 | Willem II | 1–5 | Heerenveen | 2.20/3.51/3.16 |
| 23/09/1717/18 | Willem II | 1–2 | Heerenveen | 3.43/3.52/2.08 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Heerenveen
Away Record: Willem II
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Heerenveen defeated Willem II 1:0. The match was played in Eredivisie 2016. Goals were scored by S. Larsson 40′. 1 yellow cards were shown. Heerenveen had 52% possession while Willem II held 48%. Heerenveen had 18 shots (7 on target) compared to 5 (0 on target) for Willem II. Heerenveen made 3 substitutions, Willem II made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Heerenveen and Willem II — 1 goals and 1 cards recorded during the match.
Match Statistics
Heerenveen had 52% possession against Willem II's 48%. Heerenveen registered 18 shots (7 on target) while Willem II managed 5 (0 on target). Corner kicks: 4–1. Fouls committed: 8–17.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Heerenveen have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats. Willem II show 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Heerenveen
Willem II
Heerenveen vs Willem II Head to Head Results
Heerenveen and Willem II have met 21 times — Heerenveen won 11, Willem II won 7, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Heerenveen leads the head-to-head with 11 victories from 21 meetings. A combined 76 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.62 per match (45 for the home side, 31 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 17 matches (81%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 17 games (81%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Heerenveen are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–3 in 2011.
11
Heerenveen
3
Drawn
7
Willem II
Recent Meetings (21)
API data: 15 Mar 2026