4 October 2020 at 10:15
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Ajax dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.8
Average goals per game
80%
Games with 3+ goals
70%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (14%) — the odds may underestimate Groningen.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.5%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 6.50 | 4.60 | 1.40 |
| Max | 7.00 | 5.12 | 1.44 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 13.9% | 18.9% | 67.2% |
| Public market | 14.4% | 18.7% | 66.9% |
Groningen vs Ajax — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2625/26 | Groningen | 3–1 | Ajax | 2.80/3.60/2.45 |
| 02/12/2525/26 | Ajax | 2–0 | Groningen | 1.71/4.13/4.33 |
| 14/05/2524/25 | Groningen | 2–2 | Ajax | 4.83/4.15/1.64 |
| 06/10/2424/25 | Ajax | 3–1 | Groningen | 1.35/5.13/8.02 |
| 14/05/2322/23 | Groningen | 2–3 | Ajax | 12.22/6.30/1.23 |
| 14/08/2222/23 | Ajax | 6–1 | Groningen | 1.16/7.96/14.74 |
| 02/04/2221/22 | Groningen | 1–3 | Ajax | 11.67/5.87/1.25 |
| 25/09/2121/22 | Ajax | 3–0 | Groningen | 1.05/12.40/37.35 |
| 07/03/2120/21 | Ajax | 3–1 | Groningen | 1.22/6.60/12.46 |
| 04/10/2020/21 | Groningen | 1–0 | Ajax | 6.83/4.91/1.42 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Groningen
Away Record: Ajax
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Groningen defeated Ajax 1:0. The match was played in Eredivisie 2020. Goals were scored by R. Balk 49′. 1 yellow cards were shown. Groningen had 30% possession while Ajax held 70%. Groningen had 10 shots (2 on target) compared to 18 (2 on target) for Ajax. Groningen made 4 substitutions, Ajax made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Groningen and Ajax — 1 goals and 1 cards recorded during the match.
Match Statistics
Groningen had 30% possession against Ajax's 70%. Groningen registered 10 shots (2 on target) while Ajax managed 18 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 1–11. Fouls committed: 10–9.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Groningen have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats. Ajax show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Groningen
Ajax
Groningen vs Ajax Head to Head Results
Groningen and Ajax have met 29 times — Groningen won 4, Ajax won 21, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Ajax leads the head-to-head with 21 victories from 29 meetings. A combined 84 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.90 per match (24 for the home side, 60 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 15 matches (52%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 games (52%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 6–1 in 2022.
4
Groningen
4
Drawn
21
Ajax
Recent Meetings (29)
API data: 15 Mar 2026