14 August 2021 at 14:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
AZ Alkmaar dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.5
Average goals per game
90%
Games with 3+ goals
60%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (15%) — the odds may underestimate Waalwijk.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.2%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 6.49 | 4.50 | 1.44 |
| Max | 7.50 | 4.94 | 1.47 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 14.9% | 19.5% | 65.6% |
| Public market | 12.7% | 21.2% | 66.1% |
| Δ | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
Waalwijk vs AZ Alkmaar — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04/2524/25 | AZ Alkmaar | 2–2 | Waalwijk | 1.31/5.91/8.62 |
| 30/08/2424/25 | Waalwijk | 0–3 | AZ Alkmaar | 7.30/4.63/1.43 |
| 13/04/2423/24 | AZ Alkmaar | 3–2 | Waalwijk | 1.30/5.61/9.63 |
| 20/08/2323/24 | Waalwijk | 1–3 | AZ Alkmaar | 5.07/4.10/1.59 |
| 23/04/2322/23 | AZ Alkmaar | 3–0 | Waalwijk | 1.34/5.27/8.60 |
| 06/11/2222/23 | Waalwijk | 3–1 | AZ Alkmaar | 4.05/3.96/1.81 |
| 15/05/2221/22 | AZ Alkmaar | 1–3 | Waalwijk | 1.25/6.03/10.64 |
| 14/08/2121/22 | Waalwijk | 1–0 | AZ Alkmaar | 6.83/4.65/1.45 |
| 01/05/2120/21 | Waalwijk | 1–3 | AZ Alkmaar | 7.31/5.07/1.39 |
| 01/11/2020/21 | AZ Alkmaar | 3–0 | Waalwijk | 1.23/6.23/12.07 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Waalwijk
Away Record: AZ Alkmaar
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Waalwijk defeated AZ Alkmaar 1:0. The match was played in Eredivisie 2021. Goals were scored by M. Kramer 45′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Waalwijk had 28% possession while AZ Alkmaar held 72%. Waalwijk had 7 shots (2 on target) compared to 19 (5 on target) for AZ Alkmaar. Waalwijk made 4 substitutions, AZ Alkmaar made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Waalwijk and AZ Alkmaar — 1 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.
assist: J. Gaari
Match Statistics
Waalwijk had 28% possession against AZ Alkmaar's 72%. Waalwijk registered 7 shots (2 on target) while AZ Alkmaar managed 19 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 4–6. Fouls committed: 12–7.
Lineups
Waalwijk lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation under J. Oosting, while AZ Alkmaar deployed a 4-2-3-1 under P. Jansen.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Waalwijk is 6.57, compared to 6.83 for AZ Alkmaar. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Waalwijk's highest-rated starter is R. van der Venne (6.64), while AZ Alkmaar's best-rated player is J. Clasie (6.97).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Waalwijk have contributed 4 goals and 0 assists this season, led by R. van der Venne (3G). AZ Alkmaar's starters account for 0 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by —. Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Waalwijk deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against AZ Alkmaar's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Waalwijk field 5 midfielders averaging 6.64, versus AZ Alkmaar's 5 rated 6.97. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Waalwijk start 1 forward(s) averaging 6.51, compared to 1 for AZ Alkmaar averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 75% for Waalwijk and 89% for AZ Alkmaar. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Waalwijk's starters have collected 6 yellow cards this season, compared to 3 for AZ Alkmaar. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Waalwijk's starting XI is 35.0 (youngest: R. van der Venne (33), oldest: M. Kramer (37)), while AZ Alkmaar average 33.0 (youngest: H. Verhulst (32), oldest: J. Clasie (34)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Waalwijk's starters average 22 league appearances each, versus 5 for AZ Alkmaar. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: J. Oosting
Substitutes
Coach: P. Jansen
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Waalwijk have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. AZ Alkmaar show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Waalwijk
AZ Alkmaar
Waalwijk vs AZ Alkmaar Head to Head Results
Waalwijk and AZ Alkmaar have met 18 times — Waalwijk won 3, AZ Alkmaar won 13, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. AZ Alkmaar leads the head-to-head with 13 victories from 18 meetings. A combined 64 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.56 per match (19 for the home side, 45 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 10 matches (56%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 games (89%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. AZ Alkmaar are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2012.
3
Waalwijk
2
Drawn
13
AZ Alkmaar
Recent Meetings (18)
API data: 15 Mar 2026