2 October 2021 at 18:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.8
Average goals per game
70%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Market Summary
Margin: 5.9%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.83 | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| Max | 1.91 | 3.95 | 4.00 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 50.9% | 24.6% | 24.5% |
| Public market | 50.9% | 25.9% | 23.3% |
| Δ | — | 1.3% | 1.3% |
Heracles vs Willem II — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/2524/25 | Willem II | 1–2 | Heracles | 2.75/3.31/2.62 |
| 25/08/2424/25 | Heracles | 1–1 | Willem II | 2.42/3.57/2.76 |
| 07/05/2221/22 | Willem II | 2–0 | Heracles | 2.23/3.37/3.28 |
| 02/10/2121/22 | Heracles | 3–2 | Willem II | 1.87/3.72/3.92 |
| 10/04/2120/21 | Heracles | 4–0 | Willem II | 2.10/3.55/3.45 |
| 20/09/2020/21 | Willem II | 4–0 | Heracles | 2.13/3.48/3.33 |
| 02/02/2019/20 | Willem II | 1–0 | Heracles | 1.91/3.73/3.74 |
| 15/09/1919/20 | Heracles | 4–1 | Willem II | 2.11/3.68/3.23 |
| 02/04/1918/19 | Heracles | 3–4 | Willem II | 2.38/3.60/2.79 |
| 26/08/1818/19 | Willem II | 5–0 | Heracles | 2.20/3.56/3.05 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Heracles
Away Record: Willem II
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Heracles defeated Willem II 3:2. The match was played in Eredivisie 2021. Goals were scored by R. Vloet 41′ (pen.), D. Burgzorg 53′, M. Köhlert 66′, M. Svensson 77′, I. Azzaoui 90′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Heracles had 52% possession while Willem II held 48%. Heracles had 17 shots (7 on target) compared to 13 (5 on target) for Willem II. Heracles made 5 substitutions, Willem II made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Heracles and Willem II — 5 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.
Penalty
assist: R. Meerveld
assist: A. Kampetsis
Match Statistics
Heracles had 52% possession against Willem II's 48%. Heracles registered 17 shots (7 on target) while Willem II managed 13 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 6–4. Fouls committed: 10–6.
Lineups
Heracles lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation under F. Wormuth, while Willem II deployed a 4-3-3 under F. Grim.
Defensive Solidity
Heracles deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Willem II's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Heracles field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Willem II's 3 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Heracles start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Willem II averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Substitutes
Coach: F. Wormuth
Substitutes
Coach: F. Grim
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Heracles have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats. Willem II show 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Heracles
Willem II
Heracles vs Willem II Head to Head Results
Heracles and Willem II have met 23 times — Heracles won 11, Willem II won 8, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Heracles leads the head-to-head with 11 victories from 23 meetings. A combined 81 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.52 per match (43 for the home side, 38 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 14 matches (61%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 17 games (74%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Heracles are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–6 in 2011.
11
Heracles
4
Drawn
8
Willem II
Recent Meetings (23)
API data: 15 Mar 2026