6 February 2022 at 15:45

30
Full Time
Referee: J. Manschot

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Ajax dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Ajax9wins
1draws10 meetings
Heracles0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.7

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

30%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (89%) — the odds may underestimate Ajax.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 92.9%Draw 8.8%Away 3.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.0610.0021.00
Max1.0912.1334.00
Over 2.5: 80.0%Under 2.5: 25.0%
Market favourite:Ajax · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market89.0%8.0%3.0%
Public market87.6%7.9%4.5%
Δ1.4%0.1%1.6%

Ajax vs Heracles — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Ajax
Result vs. Market: Ajax (93%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AjaxHalf-time:10Heracles
25Shots5
12Shots on target0

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
11/04/26Heracles0–3Ajax5.25/4.33/1.57
24/08/25Ajax2–0Heracles1.18/6.84/14.36
16/02/25Ajax4–0Heracles1.22/6.75/10.88
20/10/24Heracles3–4Ajax6.24/4.90/1.44
27/01/24Heracles2–4Ajax6.03/4.94/1.44
12/08/23Ajax4–1Heracles1.17/7.53/12.32
06/02/22Ajax3–0Heracles1.08/11.38/29.28
30/10/21Heracles0–0Ajax13.57/6.79/1.19
13/02/21Heracles0–2Ajax8.64/5.48/1.33
22/11/20Ajax5–0Heracles1.12/9.66/19.82

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Ajax

W 738D 212L 159
Over 2.565
Goals scored2738

Away Record: Heracles

W 211D 147L 310
Over 2.560
Goals scored900

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Ajax defeated Heracles 3:0. The match was played in Eredivisie 2021. Goals were scored by D. Klaassen 22′, S. Haller 55′, K. Taylor 65′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Ajax had 71% possession while Heracles held 29%. Ajax had 25 shots (12 on target) compared to 5 (0 on target) for Heracles. Ajax made 5 substitutions, Heracles made 5. VAR was involved: Penalty awarded (Danilo 87′).

Match Events

Key match events between Ajax and Heracles — 3 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Ajax
Heracles
Kick Off
Antony11′
Half Time
46′
L. de la TorreS. Bakış
S. Haller

assist: D. Tadić

55′
L. MartínezP. Schuurs
63′
S. BerghuisK. Taylor
63′
K. Taylor

assist: S. Haller

65′
66′
B. BaşacıkoğluN. Fadiga
D. BlindN. Tagliafico
70′
AntonyDanilo
71′
76′
K. SierhuisE. Sierra
N. MazraouiD. Rensch
81′
84′
N. BakboordS. Sonnenberg
84′
N. LaursenA. Szőke
Penalty awarded87′
VAR
Full Time

Match Statistics

Ajax had 71% possession against Heracles's 29%. Ajax registered 25 shots (12 on target) while Heracles managed 5 (0 on target). Corner kicks: 7–0. Fouls committed: 10–13.

12Shots on Goal0
9Shots off Goal4
25Total Shots5
4Blocked Shots1
19Shots insidebox1
6Shots outsidebox4
10Fouls13
7Corner Kicks0
0Offsides0
71%Ball Possession29%
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves9
692Total passes274
613Passes accurate197
89%Passes %72%

Lineups

Ajax lined up in a 4-3-3 formation under E. ten Hag, while Heracles deployed a 4-2-3-1 under F. Wormuth.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Ajax is 7.03, compared to — for Heracles. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Ajax's highest-rated starter is S. Berghuis (7.29), while Heracles's best-rated player is —.

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Ajax have contributed 10 goals and 4 assists this season, led by D. Klaassen (6G). Heracles's starters account for 0 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by —. Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Ajax deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Heracles's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Ajax field 3 midfielders averaging 7.10, versus Heracles's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Ajax start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Heracles averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 80% for Ajax and —% for Heracles. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Ajax's starters have collected 3 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Heracles. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Ajax's starting XI is 36.0 (youngest: D. Klaassen (32), oldest: R. Pasveer (42)), while Heracles average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Ajax's starters average 15 league appearances each, versus 0 for Heracles. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Ajax4-3-34-2-3-1Heracles
GKDEFMIDFWD
32Pasveer17Blind12Mazraoui21Martínez2Timber6Klaassen4Álvarez10Tadić23Berghuis22Haller11Antony1Blaswich13Knoester19Bakboord5Rente3Quaglia.15Schoofs6Kiomour.14Torre7Başacık.11Laursen16Sierhuis

Substitutes

Coach: E. ten Hag

Substitutes

Coach: F. Wormuth

AjaxPosition StrengthHeracles
7.03
Avg Rating
6.90Goalkeeper (1 v 1)
0G 0A0G 0A
7.10Midfielder (3 v 5)
10G 4A0G 0A
Ajax4-3-3
32GoalkeeperR. Pasveer6.9
17DefenderD. Blind
12DefenderN. Mazraoui
21DefenderL. Martínez
2DefenderJ. Timber
6MidfielderD. Klaassen6.96G2A
4MidfielderE. Álvarez
23MidfielderS. Berghuis7.34G2A
10ForwardD. Tadić
22ForwardS. Haller
11ForwardAntony
Heracles4-2-3-1
1GoalkeeperJ. Blaswich
13DefenderM. Knoester
19DefenderN. Bakboord
5DefenderM. Rente
3DefenderG. Quagliata
15MidfielderL. Schoofs
6MidfielderO. Kiomourtzoglou
14MidfielderL. de la Torre
7MidfielderB. Başacıkoğlu
11MidfielderN. Laursen
16ForwardK. Sierhuis

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Ajax have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Heracles show 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Ajax

WLDWLD

Heracles

LLDLDL

Ajax vs Heracles Head to Head Results

Ajax and Heracles have met 29 times — Ajax won 21, Heracles won 3, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Ajax leads the head-to-head with 21 victories from 29 meetings. A combined 95 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.28 per match (74 for the home side, 21 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 12 matches (41%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 17 games (59%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Ajax are currently unbeaten in the last 9 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–4 in 2024.

21

Ajax

5

Drawn

3

Heracles

Goals: 74Goals: 21

Recent Meetings (29)

11 Apr 2026Heracles0 – 3Ajax
24 Aug 2025Ajax2 – 0Heracles
16 Feb 2025Ajax4 – 0Heracles
20 Oct 2024Heracles3 – 4Ajax
27 Jan 2024Heracles2 – 4Ajax
12 Aug 2023Ajax4 – 1Heracles
30 Oct 2021Heracles0 – 0Ajax
13 Feb 2021Heracles0 – 2Ajax
22 Nov 2020Ajax5 – 0Heracles
23 Feb 2020Heracles1 – 0Ajax
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026