2 October 2022 at 12:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3
Average goals per game
60%
Games with 3+ goals
70%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (20%) — the odds may underestimate Utrecht.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.0%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 4.60 | 4.00 | 1.65 |
| Max | 5.00 | 4.52 | 1.65 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 19.8% | 21.5% | 58.8% |
| Public market | 19.2% | 22.8% | 58.0% |
| Δ | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
Excelsior vs Utrecht — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2525/26 | Utrecht | 4–1 | Excelsior | 1.41/5.19/6.49 |
| 27/01/2423/24 | Excelsior | 1–1 | Utrecht | 3.06/3.67/2.17 |
| 12/11/2323/24 | Utrecht | 2–2 | Excelsior | 1.74/3.85/4.07 |
| 25/01/2322/23 | Utrecht | 1–0 | Excelsior | 1.40/4.97/7.36 |
| 02/10/2222/23 | Excelsior | 0–1 | Utrecht | 4.84/4.24/1.65 |
| 23/02/1918/19 | Utrecht | 0–0 | Excelsior | 1.32/5.37/8.78 |
| 30/11/1818/19 | Excelsior | 3–3 | Utrecht | 5.39/4.37/1.55 |
| 19/11/1717/18 | Utrecht | 3–1 | Excelsior | 1.49/4.24/6.73 |
| 04/02/1817/18 | Excelsior | 2–2 | Utrecht | 4.09/3.63/1.87 |
| 06/11/1616/17 | Utrecht | 2–1 | Excelsior | 1.44/4.46/7.26 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Excelsior
Away Record: Utrecht
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Utrecht defeated Excelsior 1:0. The match was played in Eredivisie 2022. Goals were scored by S. van de Streek 31′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Excelsior had 51% possession while Utrecht held 49%. Excelsior had 15 shots (3 on target) compared to 20 (7 on target) for Utrecht. Excelsior made 4 substitutions, Utrecht made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Excelsior and Utrecht — 1 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.
assist: C. Bozdoğan
Match Statistics
Excelsior had 51% possession against Utrecht's 49%. Excelsior registered 15 shots (3 on target) while Utrecht managed 20 (7 on target). Corner kicks: 8–10. Fouls committed: 12–12.
Lineups
Excelsior lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation under M. Dijkhuizen, while Utrecht deployed a 4-2-3-1 under H. Fraser.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Excelsior is 7.01, compared to 7.02 for Utrecht. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Excelsior's highest-rated starter is S. van Gassel (7.44), while Utrecht's best-rated player is V. Barkas (7.22).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Excelsior have contributed 1 goals and 3 assists this season, led by M. van Duinen (1G). Utrecht's starters account for 1 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by C. Bozdoğan (1G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Excelsior deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Utrecht's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Excelsior field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Utrecht's 5 rated 6.82. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Excelsior start 1 forward(s) averaging 6.57, compared to 1 for Utrecht averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 56% for Excelsior and 74% for Utrecht. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Excelsior's starters have collected 2 yellow cards this season, compared to 1 for Utrecht. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Excelsior's starting XI is 31.5 (youngest: S. van Gassel (29), oldest: M. van Duinen (34)), while Utrecht average 27.5 (youngest: C. Bozdoğan (24), oldest: V. Barkas (31)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Excelsior's starters average 27 league appearances each, versus 23 for Utrecht. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: M. Dijkhuizen
Substitutes
Coach: H. Fraser
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Excelsior have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats. Utrecht show 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Excelsior
Utrecht
Excelsior vs Utrecht Head to Head Results
Excelsior and Utrecht have met 18 times — Excelsior won 2, Utrecht won 9, with 7 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Utrecht leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 18 meetings. A combined 61 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.39 per match (25 for the home side, 36 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 14 matches (78%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 games (72%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Utrecht are currently unbeaten in the last 11 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2018.
2
Excelsior
7
Drawn
9
Utrecht
Recent Meetings (18)
API data: 15 Mar 2026