7 October 2022 at 18:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.8
Average goals per game
80%
Games with 3+ goals
80%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (41%) — the odds may underestimate Groningen.
Market Summary
Margin: 4.7%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| Max | 2.38 | 3.50 | 3.11 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 40.9% | 27.8% | 31.3% |
| Public market | 41.7% | 27.4% | 30.9% |
Groningen vs Waalwijk — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/2524/25 | Groningen | 6–1 | Waalwijk | 1.69/3.94/4.87 |
| 17/08/2424/25 | Waalwijk | 1–2 | Groningen | 2.35/3.75/2.74 |
| 15/04/2322/23 | Waalwijk | 2–1 | Groningen | 1.92/3.58/4.02 |
| 07/10/2222/23 | Groningen | 2–3 | Waalwijk | 2.33/3.43/3.07 |
| 01/05/2221/22 | Waalwijk | 3–1 | Groningen | 2.79/3.32/2.57 |
| 07/11/2121/22 | Groningen | 1–1 | Waalwijk | 1.75/3.73/4.65 |
| 20/03/2120/21 | Waalwijk | 3–1 | Groningen | 3.13/3.25/2.37 |
| 12/12/2020/21 | Groningen | 2–0 | Waalwijk | 1.47/4.43/6.94 |
| 04/10/1919/20 | Groningen | 3–0 | Waalwijk | 1.37/5.07/7.47 |
| 21/09/1313/14 | Groningen | 4–1 | Waalwijk | 1.76/3.74/4.44 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Groningen
Away Record: Waalwijk
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Waalwijk defeated Groningen 3:2. The match was played in Eredivisie 2022. Goals were scored by R. Pepi 14′ (pen.), D. Van den Buijs 38′ (pen.), M. Biereth 61′, R. Pepi 76′, M. Biereth 80′. 3 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Groningen had 41% possession while Waalwijk held 59%. Groningen had 15 shots (8 on target) compared to 13 (5 on target) for Waalwijk. Groningen made 3 substitutions, Waalwijk made 5. VAR was involved: Penalty confirmed (Tomáš Suslov 12′).
Match Events
Key match events between Groningen and Waalwijk — 5 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.
Penalty
Penalty
assist: J. Lelieveld
assist: F. Krüger
assist: I. Bel Hassani
Match Statistics
Groningen had 41% possession against Waalwijk's 59%. Groningen registered 15 shots (8 on target) while Waalwijk managed 13 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 8–9. Fouls committed: 5–10.
Lineups
Groningen lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation under F. Wormuth, while Waalwijk deployed a 5-3-2 under J. Oosting.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Groningen is —, compared to 6.83 for Waalwijk. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Groningen's highest-rated starter is —, while Waalwijk's best-rated player is R. Kuijpers (6.83).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Groningen have contributed 0 goals and 0 assists this season, led by —. Waalwijk's starters account for 3 goals and 1 assists, spearheaded by R. Kuijpers (3G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Groningen deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Waalwijk's 5-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Groningen field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Waalwijk's 3 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Groningen start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Waalwijk averaging 6.83. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages —% for Groningen and 79% for Waalwijk. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Groningen's starters have collected 0 yellow cards this season, compared to 1 for Waalwijk. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Groningen's starting XI is — (youngest: —, oldest: —), while Waalwijk average 25.0 (youngest: R. Kuijpers (25), oldest: R. Kuijpers (25)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Groningen's starters average 0 league appearances each, versus 22 for Waalwijk. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: F. Wormuth
Substitutes
Coach: J. Oosting
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Groningen have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats. Waalwijk show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Groningen
Waalwijk
Groningen vs Waalwijk Head to Head Results
Groningen and Waalwijk have met 14 times — Groningen won 6, Waalwijk won 4, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Groningen leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 14 meetings. A combined 45 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.21 per match (26 for the home side, 19 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 11 matches (79%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 games (64%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 6–1 in 2025.
6
Groningen
4
Drawn
4
Waalwijk
Recent Meetings (14)
API data: 15 Mar 2026