12 February 2023 at 15:45
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Ajax dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.8
Average goals per game
80%
Games with 3+ goals
60%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (83%) — the odds may underestimate Ajax.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.9%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.12 | 7.50 | 17.00 |
| Max | 1.16 | 8.23 | 19.00 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 83.1% | 11.7% | 5.2% |
| Public market | 82.7% | 11.8% | 5.5% |
Ajax vs Waalwijk — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/2524/25 | Ajax | 2–1 | Waalwijk | 1.13/9.60/16.68 |
| 29/09/2424/25 | Waalwijk | 0–2 | Ajax | 7.26/5.36/1.36 |
| 21/01/2423/24 | Ajax | 4–1 | Waalwijk | 1.25/6.47/9.56 |
| 06/12/2323/24 | Waalwijk | 2–3 | Ajax | 4.97/4.47/1.58 |
| 12/02/2322/23 | Ajax | 3–1 | Waalwijk | 1.14/7.91/18.24 |
| 22/10/2222/23 | Waalwijk | 1–4 | Ajax | 9.52/6.54/1.26 |
| 06/03/2221/22 | Ajax | 3–2 | Waalwijk | 1.06/12.07/33.55 |
| 21/11/2121/22 | Waalwijk | 0–5 | Ajax | 20.41/8.09/1.13 |
| 11/04/2120/21 | Waalwijk | 0–1 | Ajax | 15.82/7.90/1.16 |
| 20/09/2020/21 | Ajax | 3–0 | Waalwijk | 1.05/13.66/36.35 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Ajax
Away Record: Waalwijk
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Ajax defeated Waalwijk 3:1. The match was played in Eredivisie 2022. Goals were scored by M. Seuntjens 17′, B. Brobbey 50′, J. Timber 78′, M. Kudus 81′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Ajax had 74% possession while Waalwijk held 26%. Ajax had 17 shots (5 on target) compared to 6 (3 on target) for Waalwijk. Ajax made 5 substitutions, Waalwijk made 4.
Match Events
Key match events between Ajax and Waalwijk — 4 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.
assist: Julen Lobete
assist: C. Bassey
assist: S. Berghuis
Match Statistics
Ajax had 74% possession against Waalwijk's 26%. Ajax registered 17 shots (5 on target) while Waalwijk managed 6 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 10–2. Fouls committed: 11–11.
Lineups
Ajax lined up in a 4-3-3 formation under J. Heitinga, while Waalwijk deployed a 5-3-2 under J. Oosting.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Ajax is 6.86, compared to — for Waalwijk. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Ajax's highest-rated starter is S. Berghuis (7.29), while Waalwijk's best-rated player is —.
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Ajax have contributed 13 goals and 8 assists this season, led by D. Klaassen (6G). Waalwijk's starters account for 0 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by —. Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Ajax deploy 4 defenders rated 6.63 on average, against Waalwijk's 5-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Ajax field 3 midfielders averaging 7.02, versus Waalwijk's 3 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Ajax start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Waalwijk averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 84% for Ajax and —% for Waalwijk. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Ajax's starters have collected 9 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Waalwijk. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Ajax's starting XI is 27.4 (youngest: D. Rensch (22), oldest: S. Berghuis (34)), while Waalwijk average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Ajax's starters average 15 league appearances each, versus 0 for Waalwijk. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: J. Heitinga
Substitutes
Coach: J. Oosting
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Ajax have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Waalwijk show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Ajax
Waalwijk
Ajax vs Waalwijk Head to Head Results
Ajax and Waalwijk have met 18 times — Ajax won 17, Waalwijk won 0, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Ajax leads the head-to-head with 17 victories from 18 meetings. A combined 57 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.17 per match (48 for the home side, 9 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (39%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 games (61%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Ajax are currently unbeaten in the last 18 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 6–1 in 2020.
17
Ajax
1
Drawn
0
Waalwijk
Recent Meetings (18)
API data: 15 Mar 2026