25 February 2023 at 15:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Groningen dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.5
Average goals per game
30%
Games with 3+ goals
20%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (51%) — the odds may underestimate Groningen.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.3%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.85 | 3.75 | 3.50 |
| Max | 1.91 | 3.81 | 4.16 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 51.1% | 25.5% | 23.4% |
| Public market | 51.3% | 25.0% | 23.7% |
Groningen vs Excelsior — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/12/2525/26 | Excelsior | 0–2 | Groningen | 3.42/3.54/2.13 |
| 25/02/2322/23 | Groningen | 3–0 | Excelsior | 1.89/3.79/3.89 |
| 08/01/2322/23 | Excelsior | 1–0 | Groningen | 2.67/3.60/2.54 |
| 06/04/1918/19 | Groningen | 1–0 | Excelsior | 1.49/4.20/6.71 |
| 02/11/1818/19 | Excelsior | 2–4 | Groningen | 2.58/3.51/2.62 |
| 17/12/1717/18 | Excelsior | 2–0 | Groningen | 2.40/3.46/2.83 |
| 29/04/1817/18 | Groningen | 4–0 | Excelsior | 1.89/3.94/3.58 |
| 13/08/1616/17 | Excelsior | 2–0 | Groningen | 2.59/3.29/2.71 |
| 04/02/1716/17 | Groningen | 1–1 | Excelsior | 1.53/4.14/6.16 |
| 21/08/1515/16 | Groningen | 2–0 | Excelsior | 1.65/3.97/5.02 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Groningen
Away Record: Excelsior
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Groningen defeated Excelsior 3:0. The match was played in Eredivisie 2022. Goals were scored by J. Hove 13′, R. Pepi 50′, L. van Gelderen 66′. Groningen had 59% possession while Excelsior held 41%. Groningen had 17 shots (8 on target) compared to 4 (0 on target) for Excelsior. Groningen made 5 substitutions, Excelsior made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Groningen and Excelsior — 3 goals and 0 cards recorded during the match.
assist: D. Irandust
assist: D. Irandust
Match Statistics
Groningen had 59% possession against Excelsior's 41%. Groningen registered 17 shots (8 on target) while Excelsior managed 4 (0 on target). Corner kicks: 3–1. Fouls committed: 13–11.
Lineups
Groningen lined up in a 4-3-3 formation under D. van der Ree, while Excelsior deployed a 4-2-3-1 under M. Dijkhuizen.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Groningen is 6.93, compared to 7.10 for Excelsior. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Groningen's highest-rated starter is T. Blokzijl (6.93), while Excelsior's best-rated player is S. van Gassel (7.44).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Groningen have contributed 1 goals and 1 assists this season, led by T. Blokzijl (1G). Excelsior's starters account for 8 goals and 2 assists, spearheaded by N. Naujoks (8G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Groningen deploy 4 defenders rated 6.93 on average, against Excelsior's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Groningen field 3 midfielders averaging —, versus Excelsior's 5 rated 6.75. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Groningen start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Excelsior averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 88% for Groningen and 64% for Excelsior. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Groningen's starters have collected 3 yellow cards this season, compared to 3 for Excelsior. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Groningen's starting XI is 20.0 (youngest: T. Blokzijl (20), oldest: T. Blokzijl (20)), while Excelsior average 26.0 (youngest: N. Naujoks (23), oldest: S. van Gassel (29)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Groningen's starters average 30 league appearances each, versus 28 for Excelsior. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: D. van der Ree
Substitutes
Coach: M. Dijkhuizen
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Groningen have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats. Excelsior show 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.
Groningen
Excelsior
Groningen vs Excelsior Head to Head Results
Groningen and Excelsior have met 17 times — Groningen won 9, Excelsior won 4, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Groningen leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 17 meetings. A combined 40 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.35 per match (26 for the home side, 14 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (35%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (24%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–4 in 2018.
9
Groningen
4
Drawn
4
Excelsior
Recent Meetings (17)
API data: 15 Mar 2026