28 September 2023 at 18:00

11
Full Time
Referee: D. Makkelie

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

AZ Alkmaar dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

AZ Alkmaar6wins
1draws10 meetings
Heracles3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.2

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 7.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 79.4%Draw 17.0%Away 10.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.225.508.00
Max1.296.4410.66
Over 2.5: 67.6%Under 2.5: 38.5%
Market favourite:AZ Alkmaar · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market76.0%15.0%9.1%
Public market73.5%16.5%10.0%
Δ2.4%1.5%0.9%

AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: AZ Alkmaar (79%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AZ AlkmaarHalf-time:10Heracles
21Shots4
7Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
15/03/26AZ Alkmaar4–0Heracles1.42/5.00/6.50
14/09/25Heracles1–2AZ Alkmaar5.95/4.54/1.50
13/04/25Heracles1–0AZ Alkmaar3.92/3.55/1.87
01/12/24AZ Alkmaar1–0Heracles1.33/5.26/8.30
03/04/24Heracles5–0AZ Alkmaar6.83/4.79/1.43
28/09/23AZ Alkmaar1–1Heracles1.26/5.90/9.39
19/02/22AZ Alkmaar2–1Heracles1.39/4.85/8.18
19/09/21Heracles3–2AZ Alkmaar4.06/3.68/1.85
16/05/21AZ Alkmaar5–0Heracles1.49/4.59/5.79
29/11/20Heracles1–2AZ Alkmaar4.38/4.25/1.70

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: AZ Alkmaar

W 476D 208L 289
Over 2.562
Goals scored1756

Away Record: Heracles

W 211D 147L 310
Over 2.560
Goals scored900

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

AZ Alkmaar and Heracles drew 1:1. The match was played in Eredivisie 2023. Goals were scored by V. Pavlidis 13′, A. Ouahim 53′. 4 yellow cards were shown. AZ Alkmaar had 61% possession while Heracles held 39%. AZ Alkmaar had 21 shots (7 on target) compared to 4 (2 on target) for Heracles. Expected goals: AZ Alkmaar 2.66 — Heracles 0.76. AZ Alkmaar made 5 substitutions, Heracles made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between AZ Alkmaar and Heracles — 2 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.

AZ Alkmaar
Heracles
Kick Off
V. Pavlidis

assist: Y. Sugawara

13′
Half Time
M. LahdoI. Sadiq
46′
R. BazoerB. Martins Indi
47′
53′
A. Ouahim

assist: N. Bakboord

65′
M. EngelsB. Limbombe
S. MijnansK. Goudmijn
69′
M. van BrederodeR. van Bommel
69′
76′
J. WillemsR. Roosken
76′
A. OuahimS. Scheperman
D. de WitJ. Odgaard
80′
85′
M. SankohL. Wehmeyer
85′
S. BultmanS. Čestić
89′Marko Vejinović
Full Time

Match Statistics

AZ Alkmaar had 61% possession against Heracles's 39%. AZ Alkmaar registered 21 shots (7 on target) while Heracles managed 4 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 16–0. Fouls committed: 9–9.

7Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal2
21Total Shots4
7Blocked Shots0
13Shots insidebox2
8Shots outsidebox2
9Fouls9
16Corner Kicks0
3Offsides0
61%Ball Possession39%
1Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves5
599Total passes395
523Passes accurate319
87%Passes %81%
2.66expected_goals0.76

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, AZ Alkmaar have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats. Heracles show 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

AZ Alkmaar

DWDWLW

Heracles

LLDLDL

AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles Head to Head Results

AZ Alkmaar and Heracles have met 29 times — AZ Alkmaar won 23, Heracles won 5, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. AZ Alkmaar leads the head-to-head with 23 victories from 29 meetings. A combined 103 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.55 per match (73 for the home side, 30 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 16 matches (55%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 23 games (79%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–6 in 2016.

23

AZ Alkmaar

1

Drawn

5

Heracles

Goals: 73Goals: 30

Recent Meetings (29)

15 Mar 2026AZ Alkmaar4 – 0Heracles
14 Sept 2025Heracles1 – 2AZ Alkmaar
13 Apr 2025Heracles1 – 0AZ Alkmaar
1 Dec 2024AZ Alkmaar1 – 0Heracles
3 Apr 2024Heracles5 – 0AZ Alkmaar
19 Feb 2022AZ Alkmaar2 – 1Heracles
15 Dec 2021AZ Alkmaar4 – 1Heracles
19 Sept 2021Heracles3 – 2AZ Alkmaar
16 May 2021AZ Alkmaar5 – 0Heracles
29 Nov 2020Heracles1 – 2AZ Alkmaar
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026