8 October 2023 at 12:30

12
Full Time
Referee: A. Lindhout

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

AZ Alkmaar dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Ajax0wins
4draws10 meetings
AZ Alkmaar6wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.6

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (43%) — the odds may underestimate AZ Alkmaar.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 44.7%Draw 25.7%Away 34.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.203.802.75
Max2.263.982.98
Over 2.5: 65.4%Under 2.5: 41.7%
Market favourite:Ajax · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market43.0%24.4%32.6%
Public market42.2%25.0%32.8%

Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

AZ Alkmaar
Result vs. Market: Ajax (45%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AjaxHalf-time:01AZ Alkmaar
6Shots12
1Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
08/02/26AZ Alkmaar1–1Ajax2.20/3.80/3.00
18/10/25Ajax0–2AZ Alkmaar2.00/3.82/3.46
16/03/25Ajax2–2AZ Alkmaar1.72/3.70/4.48
08/12/24AZ Alkmaar2–1Ajax3.11/3.63/2.18
25/02/24AZ Alkmaar2–0Ajax1.98/3.87/3.42
08/10/23Ajax1–2AZ Alkmaar2.24/3.89/2.88
06/05/23Ajax0–0AZ Alkmaar1.56/4.47/5.37
18/09/22AZ Alkmaar2–1Ajax4.78/4.13/1.67
08/05/22AZ Alkmaar2–2Ajax4.49/4.04/1.73
12/12/21Ajax1–2AZ Alkmaar1.23/6.63/11.69

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Ajax

W 738D 212L 159
Over 2.565
Goals scored2738

Away Record: AZ Alkmaar

W 476D 208L 289
Over 2.562
Goals scored1756

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

AZ Alkmaar defeated Ajax 2:1. The match was played in Eredivisie 2023. Goals were scored by V. Pavlidis 45′, D. de Wit 57′, B. van den Boomen 73′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Ajax had 54% possession while AZ Alkmaar held 46%. Ajax had 6 shots (1 on target) compared to 12 (4 on target) for AZ Alkmaar. Expected goals: Ajax 0.23 — AZ Alkmaar 1.70. Ajax made 4 substitutions, AZ Alkmaar made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between Ajax and AZ Alkmaar — 3 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.

Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
Kick Off
A. van Axel DongenG. Mikautadze
41′
45′
V. Pavlidis

assist: M. Lahdo

Half Time
D. RenschA. Gaaei
46′
57′
D. de Wit

assist: S. Mijnans

Silvano Vos65′
S. VosB. van den Boomen
68′
71′
R. BazoerB. Martins Indi
71′
M. LahdoI. Sadiq
79′
V. PavlidisJ. Odgaard
88′
D. Møller WolfeD. Kasius
J. MedićC. Akpom
89′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Ajax had 54% possession against AZ Alkmaar's 46%. Ajax registered 6 shots (1 on target) while AZ Alkmaar managed 12 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 6–4. Fouls committed: 7–12.

1Shots on Goal4
2Shots off Goal4
6Total Shots12
3Blocked Shots4
2Shots insidebox6
4Shots outsidebox6
7Fouls12
6Corner Kicks4
0Offsides0
54%Ball Possession46%
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves0
551Total passes484
458Passes accurate405
83%Passes %84%
0.23expected_goals1.70

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Ajax have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. AZ Alkmaar show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.

Ajax

WLDWLD

AZ Alkmaar

DWDWLW

Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Head to Head Results

Ajax and AZ Alkmaar have met 35 times — Ajax won 14, AZ Alkmaar won 13, with 8 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Ajax leads the head-to-head with 14 victories from 35 meetings. A combined 106 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.03 per match (60 for the home side, 46 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 16 matches (46%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 21 games (60%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. AZ Alkmaar are currently unbeaten in the last 10 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 6–0 in 2026.

14

Ajax

8

Drawn

13

AZ Alkmaar

Goals: 60Goals: 46

Recent Meetings (35)

8 Feb 2026AZ Alkmaar1 – 1Ajax
14 Jan 2026AZ Alkmaar6 – 0Ajax
18 Oct 2025Ajax0 – 2AZ Alkmaar
16 Mar 2025Ajax2 – 2AZ Alkmaar
14 Jan 2025AZ Alkmaar2 – 0Ajax
8 Dec 2024AZ Alkmaar2 – 1Ajax
25 Feb 2024AZ Alkmaar2 – 0Ajax
6 May 2023Ajax0 – 0AZ Alkmaar
18 Sept 2022AZ Alkmaar2 – 1Ajax
8 May 2022AZ Alkmaar2 – 2Ajax
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026