29 October 2023 at 13:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.8
Average goals per game
80%
Games with 3+ goals
70%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (74%) — the odds may underestimate Ajax.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.2%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.29 | 5.75 | 8.50 |
| Max | 1.31 | 6.24 | 9.00 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 73.7% | 15.5% | 10.8% |
| Public market | 73.0% | 16.5% | 10.5% |
| Δ | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2525/26 | PSV Eindhoven | 2–2 | Ajax | 1.73/3.99/4.47 |
| 30/03/2524/25 | PSV Eindhoven | 0–2 | Ajax | 1.68/4.19/4.38 |
| 02/11/2424/25 | Ajax | 3–2 | PSV Eindhoven | 2.86/3.69/2.28 |
| 03/02/2423/24 | Ajax | 1–1 | PSV Eindhoven | 3.35/4.17/1.94 |
| 29/10/2323/24 | PSV Eindhoven | 5–2 | Ajax | 1.30/5.93/8.81 |
| 23/04/2322/23 | PSV Eindhoven | 3–0 | Ajax | 2.36/3.62/2.87 |
| 06/11/2222/23 | Ajax | 1–2 | PSV Eindhoven | 1.76/4.10/4.23 |
| 23/01/2221/22 | PSV Eindhoven | 1–2 | Ajax | 3.64/3.73/1.95 |
| 24/10/2121/22 | Ajax | 5–0 | PSV Eindhoven | 1.43/4.88/6.61 |
| 10/01/2120/21 | Ajax | 2–2 | PSV Eindhoven | 1.66/4.15/4.89 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: PSV Eindhoven
Away Record: Ajax
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
PSV Eindhoven defeated Ajax 5:2. The match was played in Eredivisie 2023. Goals were scored by B. van den Boomen 10′, H. Lozano 20′, B. Brobbey 40′, L. de Jong 49′, I. Saibari 52′, H. Lozano 60′, H. Lozano 72′. 3 yellow cards were shown. PSV Eindhoven had 54% possession while Ajax held 46%. PSV Eindhoven had 26 shots (9 on target) compared to 16 (7 on target) for Ajax. Expected goals: PSV Eindhoven 4.31 — Ajax 1.99. PSV Eindhoven made 5 substitutions, Ajax made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between PSV Eindhoven and Ajax — 7 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.
assist: O. Boscagli
assist: S. Bergwijn
assist: L. de Jong
assist: J. Bakayoko
Match Statistics
PSV Eindhoven had 54% possession against Ajax's 46%. PSV Eindhoven registered 26 shots (9 on target) while Ajax managed 16 (7 on target). Corner kicks: 5–5. Fouls committed: 10–8.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, PSV Eindhoven have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. Ajax show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax Head to Head Results
PSV Eindhoven and Ajax have met 35 times — PSV Eindhoven won 11, Ajax won 15, with 9 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Ajax leads the head-to-head with 15 victories from 35 meetings. A combined 105 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (51 for the home side, 54 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 19 matches (54%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 22 games (63%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Ajax are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–5 in 2022.
11
PSV Eindhoven
9
Drawn
15
Ajax
Recent Meetings (35)
API data: 15 Mar 2026