13 January 2024 at 20:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
PSV Eindhoven dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.8
Average goals per game
70%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (89%) — the odds may underestimate PSV Eindhoven.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.5%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.03 | 12.00 | 21.00 |
| Max | 1.08 | 13.45 | 27.67 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 89.3% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
| Public market | 87.7% | 7.8% | 4.5% |
| Δ | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% |
PSV Eindhoven vs Excelsior — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/2625/26 | PSV Eindhoven | 5–1 | Excelsior | 1.13/9.42/14.14 |
| 27/09/2525/26 | Excelsior | 1–2 | PSV Eindhoven | 8.86/6.83/1.25 |
| 02/04/2423/24 | Excelsior | 0–2 | PSV Eindhoven | 13.67/8.56/1.16 |
| 13/01/2423/24 | PSV Eindhoven | 3–1 | Excelsior | 1.06/12.48/24.89 |
| 08/04/2322/23 | PSV Eindhoven | 4–0 | Excelsior | 1.09/11.05/23.95 |
| 28/08/2222/23 | Excelsior | 1–6 | PSV Eindhoven | 9.26/6.12/1.28 |
| 02/03/1918/19 | Excelsior | 0–2 | PSV Eindhoven | 12.18/6.97/1.20 |
| 07/12/1818/19 | PSV Eindhoven | 6–0 | Excelsior | 1.07/10.89/28.86 |
| 26/11/1717/18 | Excelsior | 1–2 | PSV Eindhoven | 8.64/5.10/1.35 |
| 07/02/1817/18 | PSV Eindhoven | 1–0 | Excelsior | 1.10/8.75/20.00 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: PSV Eindhoven
Away Record: Excelsior
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
PSV Eindhoven defeated Excelsior 3:1. The match was played in Eredivisie 2023. Goals were scored by L. de Jong 13′, L. de Jong 17′, L. de Jong 69′, D. Sanches Fernandes 82′. PSV Eindhoven had 69% possession while Excelsior held 31%. PSV Eindhoven had 27 shots (15 on target) compared to 8 (3 on target) for Excelsior. Expected goals: PSV Eindhoven 4.02 — Excelsior 0.82. PSV Eindhoven made 5 substitutions, Excelsior made 5. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Guus Til 35′).
Match Events
Key match events between PSV Eindhoven and Excelsior — 4 goals and 0 cards recorded during the match.
assist: S. Dest
assist: André Ramalho
assist: N. Agrafiotis
Match Statistics
PSV Eindhoven had 69% possession against Excelsior's 31%. PSV Eindhoven registered 27 shots (15 on target) while Excelsior managed 8 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 12–2. Fouls committed: 3–3.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, PSV Eindhoven have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. Excelsior show 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven vs Excelsior Head to Head Results
PSV Eindhoven and Excelsior have met 20 times — PSV Eindhoven won 19, Excelsior won 0, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. PSV Eindhoven leads the head-to-head with 19 victories from 20 meetings. A combined 80 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 4.00 per match (65 for the home side, 15 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 12 matches (60%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 games (75%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. PSV Eindhoven are currently unbeaten in the last 20 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–6 in 2022.
19
PSV Eindhoven
1
Drawn
0
Excelsior
Recent Meetings (20)
API data: 15 Mar 2026