3 February 2024 at 19:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.8
Average goals per game
80%
Games with 3+ goals
70%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (28%) — the odds may underestimate Ajax.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.4%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 3.25 | 3.90 | 1.91 |
| Max | 3.49 | 4.33 | 1.97 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 27.9% | 22.8% | 49.4% |
| Public market | 28.9% | 22.1% | 49.0% |
| Δ | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2525/26 | PSV Eindhoven | 2–2 | Ajax | 1.73/3.99/4.47 |
| 30/03/2524/25 | PSV Eindhoven | 0–2 | Ajax | 1.68/4.19/4.38 |
| 02/11/2424/25 | Ajax | 3–2 | PSV Eindhoven | 2.86/3.69/2.28 |
| 03/02/2423/24 | Ajax | 1–1 | PSV Eindhoven | 3.35/4.17/1.94 |
| 29/10/2323/24 | PSV Eindhoven | 5–2 | Ajax | 1.30/5.93/8.81 |
| 23/04/2322/23 | PSV Eindhoven | 3–0 | Ajax | 2.36/3.62/2.87 |
| 06/11/2222/23 | Ajax | 1–2 | PSV Eindhoven | 1.76/4.10/4.23 |
| 23/01/2221/22 | PSV Eindhoven | 1–2 | Ajax | 3.64/3.73/1.95 |
| 24/10/2121/22 | Ajax | 5–0 | PSV Eindhoven | 1.43/4.88/6.61 |
| 10/01/2120/21 | Ajax | 2–2 | PSV Eindhoven | 1.66/4.15/4.89 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Ajax
Away Record: PSV Eindhoven
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Ajax and PSV Eindhoven drew 1:1. The match was played in Eredivisie 2023. Goals were scored by S. Berghuis 19′, L. de Jong 34′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Ajax had 49% possession while PSV Eindhoven held 51%. Ajax had 13 shots (4 on target) compared to 18 (5 on target) for PSV Eindhoven. Expected goals: Ajax 1.16 — PSV Eindhoven 1.07. Ajax made 3 substitutions, PSV Eindhoven made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Ajax and PSV Eindhoven — 2 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.
assist: B. Brobbey
assist: I. Saibari
Match Statistics
Ajax had 49% possession against PSV Eindhoven's 51%. Ajax registered 13 shots (4 on target) while PSV Eindhoven managed 18 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 3–5. Fouls committed: 8–14.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Ajax have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. PSV Eindhoven show 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven Head to Head Results
Ajax and PSV Eindhoven have met 35 times — Ajax won 15, PSV Eindhoven won 12, with 8 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Ajax leads the head-to-head with 15 victories from 35 meetings. A combined 110 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.14 per match (55 for the home side, 55 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 19 matches (54%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 23 games (66%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Ajax are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–5 in 2022.
15
Ajax
8
Drawn
12
PSV Eindhoven
Recent Meetings (35)
API data: 15 Mar 2026