Eredivisie · Season 2017
Match Events
Penalty
Penalty
assist: A. Hadouir
assist: M. El Allouchi
Match Statistics
Match Summary
NAC Breda defeated Excelsior 3:1. The match was played in Eredivisie 2017. Goals were scored by T. Ambrose 24′ (pen.), T. Ambrose 48′ (pen.), M. van Duinen 66′, Paolo Fernandes 77′. 4 yellow cards were shown. NAC Breda had 44% possession while Excelsior held 56%. NAC Breda had 22 shots (8 on target) compared to 12 (4 on target) for Excelsior. NAC Breda made 3 substitutions, Excelsior made 3.
NAC Breda vs Excelsior Head to Head Results
21 stretnutíRecent Meetings
Recent Form
NAC Breda
Excelsior
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
1.8
Average goals per game
25%
Games with 3+ goals
38%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (25%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (39%) — the odds may underestimate Excelsior.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.0%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.37 | 3.29 | 2.70 |
| Max | 2.47 | 3.49 | 2.99 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 39.5% | 27.9% | 32.6% |
| Public market | 39.4% | 28.4% | 32.3% |
NAC Breda vs Excelsior — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/2625/26 | NAC Breda | 0–2 | Excelsior | 1.83/3.70/4.20 |
| 29/11/2525/26 | Excelsior | 1–0 | NAC Breda | 2.37/3.53/2.87 |
| 03/04/1918/19 | Excelsior | 1–2 | NAC Breda | 1.99/3.62/3.64 |
| 25/08/1818/19 | NAC Breda | 0–2 | Excelsior | 1.98/3.59/3.54 |
| 03/12/1717/18 | NAC Breda | 3–1 | Excelsior | 2.43/3.36/2.86 |
| 11/02/1817/18 | Excelsior | 0–0 | NAC Breda | 2.25/3.38/3.16 |
| 09/08/1414/15 | NAC Breda | 1–1 | Excelsior | 2.12/3.48/3.40 |
| 31/01/1514/15 | Excelsior | 0–0 | NAC Breda | 1.93/3.67/3.74 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: NAC Breda
Away Record: Excelsior
Data: football-data.co.uk
API data: 11 May 2026