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Ajax vs Nac Breda

Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam17 February 2019 at 11:15
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Ajax

50
Referee: Siemen Mulder

Match Events

Ajax
NAC Breda
Kick Off
36′Gianluca Nijholt
38′Dorian Dervite
D. Tadić

Penalty

38′
Half Time
L. SchöneK. Dolberg
46′
K. Dolberg

assist: H. Ziyech

53′
G. Kastaneer

Own Goal

59′
Hakim Ziyech65′
D. Tadić
67′
E. Palmer-Brown

Own Goal

71′
N. TagliaficoJ. Veltman
73′
D. TadićJ. Ekkelenkamp
73′
76′
D. DerviteD. Klomp
79′
G. KastaneerR. Mühren
88′
M. RosheuvelG. Korte
90′Menno Koch
Full Time

Match Statistics

10Shots on Goal2
11Shots off Goal3
33Total Shots6
12Blocked Shots1
23Shots insidebox3
10Shots outsidebox3
9Fouls15
13Corner Kicks2
1Offsides1
72%Ball Possession28%
1Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves6
661Total passes254
587Passes accurate169
89%Passes %67%

Match Summary

Ajax defeated NAC Breda 5:0. The match was played in Eredivisie 2018. Goals were scored by D. Tadić 38′ (pen.), K. Dolberg 53′, G. Kastaneer 59′ (o.g.), D. Tadić 67′, E. Palmer-Brown 71′ (o.g.). 4 yellow cards were shown. Ajax had 72% possession while NAC Breda held 28%. Ajax had 33 shots (10 on target) compared to 6 (2 on target) for NAC Breda. Ajax made 3 substitutions, NAC Breda made 3.

Rivalry since 2010

Ajax vs NAC Breda Head to Head Results

17 stretnutí
Ajax
13
wins
Drawn
3
NAC Breda
1
wins
Total goals
57 · 3.4/match
Both scored
6/17 · 35%
Over 2.5
12/17 · 71%

Recent Form

Ajax

DWWLDW

NAC Breda

LLDDLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Ajax dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Ajax8wins
1draws10 meetings
NAC Breda1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.9

Average goals per game

80%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (91%) — the odds may underestimate NAC Breda.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 96.8%Draw 6.7%Away 2.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.0214.5436.00
Max1.0515.0041.00
Market favourite:Ajax · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market90.8%6.6%2.6%
Public market91.4%6.3%2.3%

Ajax vs NAC Breda — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Ajax
Result vs. Market: Ajax (97%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AjaxHalf-time:10NAC Breda
33Shots6
11Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
25/04/26NAC Breda0–2Ajax3.20/3.90/2.05
27/09/25Ajax2–1NAC Breda1.27/5.97/9.81
06/04/25Ajax3–1NAC Breda1.24/6.31/10.31
18/08/24NAC Breda2–1Ajax8.41/6.39/1.27
17/02/19Ajax5–0NAC Breda1.03/14.85/37.82
24/11/18NAC Breda0–3Ajax19.73/9.20/1.11
18/11/17NAC Breda0–8Ajax10.52/5.67/1.28
04/02/18Ajax3–1NAC Breda1.06/11.00/22.00
27/09/14NAC Breda2–5Ajax4.83/3.62/1.76
19/04/15Ajax0–0NAC Breda1.24/6.12/10.62

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Ajax

W 739D 213L 159
Over 2.565
Goals scored2742

Away Record: NAC Breda

W 264D 218L 366
Over 2.556
Goals scored1099

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026