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Psv Eindhoven vs Ajax

Philips Stadion, Eindhoven29 October 2023 at 13:30
52
Away

Ajax

Referee: D. Makkelie

Match Events

PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
Kick Off
10′
B. van den Boomen
13′Jorrel Hato
H. Lozano

assist: O. Boscagli

20′
40′
B. Brobbey

assist: S. Bergwijn

Half Time
J. VeermanI. Saibari
46′
M. TillmanG. Til
46′
L. de Jong
49′
I. Saibari

assist: L. de Jong

52′
H. Lozano

assist: J. Bakayoko

60′
62′Steven Bergwijn
64′
S. BerghuisM. Godts
H. Lozano
72′
75′
B. van den BoomenS. Vos
75′
G. ÁvilaA. Salah-Eddine
J. BakayokoY. Vertessen
83′
L. de JongR. Pepi
83′
Ismael Saibari90′
H. LozanoI. Babadi
90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

9Shots on Goal7
11Shots off Goal3
26Total Shots16
6Blocked Shots6
18Shots insidebox7
8Shots outsidebox9
10Fouls8
5Corner Kicks5
1Offsides1
54%Ball Possession46%
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves4
459Total passes392
379Passes accurate317
83%Passes %81%
4.31expected_goals1.99

Match Summary

PSV Eindhoven defeated Ajax 5:2. The match was played in Eredivisie 2023. Goals were scored by B. van den Boomen 10′, H. Lozano 20′, B. Brobbey 40′, L. de Jong 49′, I. Saibari 52′, H. Lozano 60′, H. Lozano 72′. 3 yellow cards were shown. PSV Eindhoven had 54% possession while Ajax held 46%. PSV Eindhoven had 26 shots (9 on target) compared to 16 (7 on target) for Ajax. Expected goals: PSV Eindhoven 4.31 — Ajax 1.99. PSV Eindhoven made 5 substitutions, Ajax made 3.

Rivalry since 2010

PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax Head to Head Results

36 stretnutí
PSV Eindhoven
11
wins
Drawn
10
Ajax
15
wins
Total goals
109 · 3.0/match
Both scored
20/36 · 56%
Over 2.5
23/36 · 64%

Recent Form

PSV Eindhoven

WWWWWW

Ajax

DWWLDW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

PSV Eindhoven3wins
3draws10 meetings
Ajax4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.8

Average goals per game

80%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (74%) — the odds may underestimate Ajax.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 76.9%Draw 16.9%Away 11.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.295.758.50
Max1.316.249.00
Over 2.5: 75.2%Under 2.5: 29.4%
Market favourite:PSV Eindhoven · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market73.7%15.5%10.8%
Public market73.0%16.5%10.5%
Δ0.8%1.0%0.3%

PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

PSV Eindhoven
Result vs. Market: PSV Eindhoven (77%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PSV EindhovenHalf-time:12Ajax
26Shots16
9Shots on target7

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
02/05/26Ajax2–2PSV Eindhoven2.45/4.20/2.45
21/09/25PSV Eindhoven2–2Ajax1.73/3.99/4.47
30/03/25PSV Eindhoven0–2Ajax1.68/4.19/4.38
02/11/24Ajax3–2PSV Eindhoven2.86/3.69/2.28
03/02/24Ajax1–1PSV Eindhoven3.35/4.17/1.94
29/10/23PSV Eindhoven5–2Ajax1.30/5.93/8.81
23/04/23PSV Eindhoven3–0Ajax2.36/3.62/2.87
06/11/22Ajax1–2PSV Eindhoven1.76/4.10/4.23
23/01/22PSV Eindhoven1–2Ajax3.64/3.73/1.95
24/10/21Ajax5–0PSV Eindhoven1.43/4.88/6.61

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: PSV Eindhoven

W 756D 206L 150
Over 2.567
Goals scored2762

Away Record: Ajax

W 739D 213L 159
Over 2.565
Goals scored2742

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026