Eredivisie · Season 2023
Match Events
assist: J. Wieckhoff
assist: B. Tahirović
assist: K. Hlynsson
assist: J. Hato
assist: M. Brouwer
assist: D. Rensch
Match Statistics
Match Summary
Ajax defeated Heracles 4:2. The match was played in Eredivisie 2023. Goals were scored by J. Hornkamp 12′, B. Brobbey 16′, S. Berghuis 55′, B. Brobbey 57′, M. Engels 60′, K. Hlynsson 84′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Heracles had 27% possession while Ajax held 73%. Heracles had 13 shots (7 on target) compared to 31 (12 on target) for Ajax. Expected goals: Heracles 1.01 — Ajax 4.00. Heracles made 5 substitutions, Ajax made 2.
Heracles vs Ajax Head to Head Results
29 stretnutíRecent Meetings
Recent Form
Heracles
Ajax
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Ajax dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.7
Average goals per game
70%
Games with 3+ goals
30%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (15%) — the odds may underestimate Ajax.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.2%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 5.80 | 4.75 | 1.40 |
| Max | 6.30 | 5.06 | 1.48 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 15.4% | 19.1% | 65.5% |
| Public market | 15.8% | 18.9% | 65.3% |
Heracles vs Ajax — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/2625/26 | Heracles | 0–3 | Ajax | 5.25/4.33/1.57 |
| 24/08/2525/26 | Ajax | 2–0 | Heracles | 1.18/6.84/14.36 |
| 16/02/2524/25 | Ajax | 4–0 | Heracles | 1.22/6.75/10.88 |
| 20/10/2424/25 | Heracles | 3–4 | Ajax | 6.24/4.90/1.44 |
| 27/01/2423/24 | Heracles | 2–4 | Ajax | 6.03/4.94/1.44 |
| 12/08/2323/24 | Ajax | 4–1 | Heracles | 1.17/7.53/12.32 |
| 06/02/2221/22 | Ajax | 3–0 | Heracles | 1.08/11.38/29.28 |
| 30/10/2121/22 | Heracles | 0–0 | Ajax | 13.57/6.79/1.19 |
| 13/02/2120/21 | Heracles | 0–2 | Ajax | 8.64/5.48/1.33 |
| 22/11/2020/21 | Ajax | 5–0 | Heracles | 1.12/9.66/19.82 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Heracles
Away Record: Ajax
Data: football-data.co.uk
API data: 11 May 2026