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Heracles vs Pec Zwolle

Asito Stadion, Almelo2 March 2025 at 13:30
42
Referee: M. Vos

Match Events

Heracles
PEC Zwolle
Kick Off
VAR
6′Red card cancelled
8′Damian van der Haar
B. De Keersmaecker

Penalty

8′
9′
D. Vente
32′
A. MacNulty

assist: D. van den Berg

Ivan Mesík40′
T. Bruns
44′
Half Time
46′
O. AertssenS. Floranus
46′
D. van der HaarT. Lutonda
J. Talvitie

assist: S. Podgoreanu

58′
J. TalvitieM. Engels
60′
J. Hornkamp

assist: M. Engels

63′
67′
D. van den BergR. Thomas
68′
F. KrastevO. Velanas
J. HornkampB. Limbombe
76′
T. BrunsD. van Oorschot
77′
82′
Jamiro MonteiroT. Buitink
S. PodgoreanuM. Benita
90′
B. De KeersmaeckerD. van Kaam
90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal2
16Total Shots5
5Blocked Shots0
11Shots insidebox3
5Shots outsidebox2
18Fouls16
7Corner Kicks1
0Offsides2
54%Ball Possession46%
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves1
340Total passes306
249Passes accurate229
73%Passes %75%
2.91expected_goals0.74
-1goals_prevented-1

Match Summary

Heracles defeated PEC Zwolle 4:2. The match was played in Eredivisie 2024. Goals were scored by B. De Keersmaecker 8′ (pen.), D. Vente 9′, A. MacNulty 32′, T. Bruns 44′, J. Talvitie 58′, J. Hornkamp 63′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Heracles had 54% possession while PEC Zwolle held 46%. Heracles had 16 shots (5 on target) compared to 5 (3 on target) for PEC Zwolle. Expected goals: Heracles 2.91 — PEC Zwolle 0.74. Heracles made 5 substitutions, PEC Zwolle made 5. VAR was involved: Red card cancelled (Damian van der Haar 6′).

Rivalry since 2012

Heracles vs PEC Zwolle Head to Head Results

28 stretnutí
Heracles
12
wins
Drawn
5
PEC Zwolle
11
wins
Total goals
87 · 3.1/match
Both scored
16/28 · 57%
Over 2.5
17/28 · 61%

Recent Form

Heracles

LLLLDL

PEC Zwolle

WLDLWD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Heracles5wins
1draws10 meetings
PEC Zwolle4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.7

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (42%) — the odds may underestimate Heracles.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.0%Draw 30.1%Away 30.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.203.183.10
Max2.273.403.40
Over 2.5: 54.1%Under 2.5: 50.0%
Market favourite:Heracles · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market42.0%30.0%28.0%
Public market43.0%27.8%29.1%
Δ1.0%2.1%1.1%

Heracles vs PEC Zwolle — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Heracles
Result vs. Market: Heracles (45%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

HeraclesHalf-time:22PEC Zwolle
16Shots5
5Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
03/05/26PEC Zwolle1–0Heracles1.48/5.00/5.50
02/11/25Heracles8–2PEC Zwolle2.40/3.50/2.80
02/03/25Heracles4–2PEC Zwolle2.22/3.33/3.25
01/09/24PEC Zwolle3–0Heracles2.01/3.70/3.46
28/04/24PEC Zwolle3–1Heracles2.12/3.72/3.19
01/10/23Heracles2–1PEC Zwolle2.21/3.71/3.01
26/02/22Heracles2–0PEC Zwolle2.06/3.42/3.64
23/10/21PEC Zwolle1–0Heracles3.03/3.45/2.29
07/03/21Heracles2–1PEC Zwolle2.05/3.50/3.57
26/01/21PEC Zwolle2–2Heracles2.54/3.42/2.77

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Heracles

W 211D 147L 312
Over 2.560
Goals scored900

Away Record: PEC Zwolle

W 145D 126L 229
Over 2.554
Goals scored624

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026