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Toulouse vs Estac Troyes

Full Time

Ligue 1 · Season 2022

Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse1 February 2023 at 18:00
Referee: M. Vernice

Match Summary

Toulouse defeated Estac Troyes 4:1. The match was played in Ligue 1 2022.

Rivalry since 2012

Toulouse vs Estac Troyes Head to Head Results

10 stretnutí
Toulouse
6
wins
Drawn
4
Estac Troyes
0
wins
Total goals
23 · 2.3/match
Both scored
3/10 · 30%
Over 2.5
4/10 · 40%

Recent Form

Toulouse

WWDLLL

Estac Troyes

LWWWLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Toulouse dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Toulouse5wins
1draws6 meetings
Estac Troyes0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

17%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (55%) — the odds may underestimate Toulouse.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 57.0%Draw 25.1%Away 22.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.733.804.33
Max1.784.134.58
Over 2.5: 59.9%Under 2.5: 45.5%
Market favourite:Toulouse · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market55.0%23.7%21.4%
Public market54.6%23.6%21.8%

Toulouse vs Estac Troyes — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Toulouse
Result vs. Market: Toulouse (57%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ToulouseHalf-time:21Estac Troyes
13Shots11
6Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
01/02/23Toulouse4–1Estac Troyes1.75/3.98/4.44
14/08/22Estac Troyes0–3Toulouse2.69/3.27/2.71
09/09/17Estac Troyes0–0Toulouse2.91/3.23/2.57
27/01/18Toulouse1–0Estac Troyes2.03/3.20/4.18
02/12/15Estac Troyes0–3Toulouse3.05/3.24/2.45
07/05/16Toulouse1–0Estac Troyes1.23/6.53/12.58

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Toulouse

W 263D 269L 383
Over 2.541
Goals scored948

Away Record: Estac Troyes

W 95D 110L 201
Over 2.545
Goals scored405

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026