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Nice vs Paris FC

28 September 2025 at 14:00Allianz Riviera, Nice
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Nice

11
Referee: Abdelatif Kherradji

Match Summary

Nice and Paris FC drew 1:1. The match was played in Ligue 1 2025. Goals were scored by S. Diop 40′, J. Krasso 88′ (pen.). 2 yellow cards were shown. Nice had 44% possession while Paris FC held 56%. Nice had 11 shots (5 on target) compared to 13 (3 on target) for Paris FC. Expected goals: Nice 0.96 — Paris FC 1.84. Nice made 5 substitutions, Paris FC made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Nice and Paris FC — 2 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
40′
Half Time
A. AbdiM. Bard
46′
S. Abdul SamedH. Boudaoui
46′
M. ChoI. Jansson
68′
68′
I. KebbalJ. Ikone
T. MoffiJ. Boga
75′
M. Sanson
78′
78′
W. GeubbelsN. Dicko
88′
J. Krasso

Penalty

90′
M. SimonN. Sangui
90′
H. TraoreM. Cafaro
Full Time

Match Statistics

Nice had 44% possession against Paris FC's 56%. Nice registered 11 shots (5 on target) while Paris FC managed 13 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 5–5. Fouls committed: 14–14.

Shots on Goal
5
3
Shots Off Goal
2
3
Total Shots
11
13
Blocked Shots
4
7
Shots inside the Box
8
8
Shots outside the Box
3
5
Fouls
14
14
Corner Kicks
5
5
Offsides
1
1
Ball Possession
44%
56%
Yellow Cards
1
1
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
4
Total Passes
392
512
Accurate Passes
319
437
Pass Accuracy
81%
85%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
1.84
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.20
0.20

Rivalry since 2026

Nice vs Paris FC Head to Head Results· 1

Nice and Paris FC have met 1 times — Nice won 0, Paris FC won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2026. Paris FC leads the head-to-head with 1 victory from 1 meeting. A combined 1 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.00 per match (0 for the home side, 1 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 0 matches (0%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 games (0%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–0 in 2026.

0
wins
Drawn
0
·
Total goals
1 · 1.0/match
Both scored
0/1 · 0%
Over 2.5
0/1 · 0%

Recent Meetings

01/03/26Ligue 1
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 10 v 2026

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Nice have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Paris FC show 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Nice

WDLDLD

Paris FC

WLWLWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.5

Average goals per game

0%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

0
wins
draws
1
2 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (51%) — the odds may underestimate Paris FC.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

1 Mar 202625/262.40/3.40/2.90
Match Details
28 Sept 202525/261.86/3.87/3.98
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 4.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 53.6%Draw 25.8%Away 25.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.853.753.96
Max1.883.994.00
Over 2.5: 61.7%Under 2.5: 43.5%
Market favourite:Nice · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market51.4%24.2%24.4%
Public market51.1%25.2%23.6%
Δ0.3%1.0%0.7%

Nice vs Paris FC — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Nice (54%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

NiceHalf-time:10Paris FC
11Shots13
5Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Nice

W 358D 296L 350
Over 2.542
Goals scored1152

Away Record: Paris FC

W 11D 11L 12
Over 2.556
Goals scored47

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026