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Lorient vs Bastia

15 March 2025 at 19:00Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat, Lorient
40
Away

Bastia

Match Summary

Lorient defeated Bastia 4:0. The match was played in Ligue 2 2024.

Rivalry since 2012

Lorient vs Bastia Head to Head Results· 11

Lorient and Bastia have met 11 times — Lorient won 3, Bastia won 4, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Bastia leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 11 meetings. A combined 26 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.36 per match (12 for the home side, 14 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (45%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (36%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Bastia are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–1 in 2013.

3
wins
Drawn
4
·
4
wins
Total goals
26 · 2.4/match
Both scored
5/11 · 45%
Over 2.5
4/11 · 36%

Recent Meetings

23/11/24Ligue 2
Match Details
14/05/17Ligue 1
Match Details
20/08/16Ligue 1
Match Details
05/03/16Ligue 1
Match Details
16/08/15Ligue 1
Match Details
28/02/15Ligue 1
Match Details
04/10/14Ligue 1
Match Details
01/03/14Ligue 1
Match Details
04/10/13Ligue 1
Match Details
13/04/13Ligue 1
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 41 v 2013

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Lorient have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Bastia show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Lorient

WDLWLD

Bastia

LWDWLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

0%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

1
wins
draws
1
2 meetings
0
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (55%) — the odds may underestimate Lorient.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

15 Mar 202524/251.70/3.45/5.01
Match Details
23 Nov 202424/253.12/3.43/2.19
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 7.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 58.8%Draw 29.0%Away 19.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.673.305.00
Max1.733.645.04
Over 2.5: 44.4%Under 2.5: 61.7%
Market favourite:Lorient · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market55.4%25.9%18.7%
Public market54.8%26.9%18.3%
Δ0.6%1.0%0.4%

Lorient vs Bastia — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Lorient
Result vs. Market: Lorient (59%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

LorientHalf-time:20Bastia
10Shots9
6Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Lorient

W 210D 116L 124
Over 2.546
Goals scored629

Away Record: Bastia

W 145D 118L 146
Over 2.538
Goals scored483

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026