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Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel

Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden16 April 2022 at 12:30

Match Events

Dynamo Dresden
Holstein Kiel
Kick Off
37′Steven Skrzybski
Michael Sollbauer41′
Half Time
Michael Akoto61′
A. DiawusieM. Schröter
67′
P. WillJ. Kade
67′
S. MaiP. Weihrauch
73′
74′
S. SkrzybskiJ. Sterner
79′Julian Korb
R. KönigsdörfferB. Borello
85′
C. LöweG. Giorbelidze
85′
85′
A. MühlingP. Erras
85′
F. ReeseB. Pichler
90+3′
L. HoltbyA. Arslan
Full Time

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal5
13Total Shots11
5Blocked Shots1
11Shots insidebox7
2Shots outsidebox4
15Fouls16
4Corner Kicks3
1Offsides2
45%Ball Possession55%
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves3
321Total passes395
216Passes accurate284
67%Passes %72%

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Dynamo Dresden is 6.71, compared to 6.80 for Holstein Kiel. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Dynamo Dresden's highest-rated starter is C. Daferner (6.71), while Holstein Kiel's best-rated player is S. Skrzybski (6.80).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Dynamo Dresden have contributed 7 goals and 1 assists this season, led by C. Daferner (7G). Holstein Kiel's starters account for 2 goals and 2 assists, spearheaded by S. Skrzybski (2G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Dynamo Dresden deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Holstein Kiel's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Dynamo Dresden field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Holstein Kiel's 3 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Dynamo Dresden start 1 forward(s) averaging 6.71, compared to 3 for Holstein Kiel averaging 6.80. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 62% for Dynamo Dresden and 74% for Holstein Kiel. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Dynamo Dresden's starters have collected 3 yellow cards this season, compared to 2 for Holstein Kiel. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Dynamo Dresden's starting XI is 27.0 (youngest: C. Daferner (27), oldest: C. Daferner (27)), while Holstein Kiel average 33.0 (youngest: S. Skrzybski (33), oldest: S. Skrzybski (33)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Dynamo Dresden's starters average 29 league appearances each, versus 20 for Holstein Kiel. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Dynamo Dresden4-2-3-14-3-3Holstein Kiel
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Broll15Löwe21Sollbau.4Knipping26Mai3Akoto5Stark28Will33Daferner11Diawusie35Königsd.1Gelios15Bergh22Ignjovs.23Korb19Lorenz25Neumann10Holtby8Mühling14Skrzybs.18Wriedt11Reese

Substitutes

Coach: G. Capretti

Substitutes

Coach: M. Rapp

Dynamo DresdenPosition StrengthHolstein Kiel
6.71
Avg Rating
6.80
6.71Forward (1 v 3)6.80
7G 1A2G 2A
Dynamo Dresden4-2-3-1
1GoalkeeperK. Broll
15DefenderC. Löwe
21DefenderM. Sollbauer
4DefenderT. Knipping
3DefenderM. Akoto
26MidfielderS. Mai
5MidfielderY. Stark
28MidfielderP. Will
11MidfielderA. Diawusie
35MidfielderR. Königsdörffer
33ForwardC. Daferner6.77G1A
Holstein Kiel4-3-3
1GoalkeeperI. Gelios
15DefenderJ. van den Bergh
23DefenderJ. Korb
19DefenderS. Lorenz
25DefenderP. Neumann
22MidfielderA. Ignjovski
10MidfielderL. Holtby
8MidfielderA. Mühling
14ForwardS. Skrzybski6.82G2A
18ForwardK. Wriedt
11ForwardF. Reese

Match Summary

Dynamo Dresden and Holstein Kiel drew 0:0. The match was played in 2. Bundesliga 2021. 4 yellow cards were shown. Dynamo Dresden had 45% possession while Holstein Kiel held 55%. Dynamo Dresden had 13 shots (4 on target) compared to 11 (5 on target) for Holstein Kiel. Dynamo Dresden made 5 substitutions, Holstein Kiel made 4.

Rivalry since 2014

Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel Head to Head Results

12 stretnutí
Dynamo Dresden
1
wins
Drawn
1
Holstein Kiel
10
wins
Total goals
30 · 2.5/match
Both scored
5/12 · 42%
Over 2.5
8/12 · 67%

Recent Form

Dynamo Dresden

WLWWLL

Holstein Kiel

WWWWDW

Match Prediction

Dynamo Dresden

10%

Home win

 

45%

Draw

Holstein Kiel

45%

Away win

Model advice

Double chance : draw or Holstein Kiel

25%Form75%
38%Attack62%
56%Defence44%
0%Head-to-head100%

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Holstein Kiel dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Dynamo Dresden0wins
1draws9 meetings
Holstein Kiel8wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.6

Average goals per game

67%

Games with 3+ goals

33%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (39%) — the odds may underestimate Holstein Kiel.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 40.7%Draw 29.6%Away 35.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.453.252.70
Max2.473.602.90
Over 2.5: 54.6%Under 2.5: 49.5%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market39.4%27.0%33.6%
Public market38.0%28.7%33.3%
Δ1.4%1.6%0.3%

Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Dynamo Dresden (41%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Dynamo DresdenHalf-time:00Holstein Kiel
14Shots11
3Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
20/12/25Holstein Kiel2–1Dynamo Dresden1.91/3.75/3.75
16/04/22Dynamo Dresden0–0Holstein Kiel2.46/3.38/2.80
05/11/21Holstein Kiel2–1Dynamo Dresden1.89/3.56/4.04
18/06/20Holstein Kiel2–0Dynamo Dresden1.74/3.90/4.43
30/11/19Dynamo Dresden1–2Holstein Kiel3.37/3.63/2.08
12/05/19Holstein Kiel3–0Dynamo Dresden1.62/4.14/5.04
09/12/18Dynamo Dresden0–2Holstein Kiel2.51/3.42/2.73
05/11/17Holstein Kiel3–0Dynamo Dresden1.63/4.09/4.99
14/04/18Dynamo Dresden0–4Holstein Kiel2.71/3.41/2.54

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Dynamo Dresden

W 112D 103L 157
Over 2.553
Goals scored460

Away Record: Holstein Kiel

W 112D 74L 84
Over 2.562
Goals scored452

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026