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FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV

10 May 2014 at 14:30Coface Arena (Mainz)

Match Summary

FSV Mainz 05 defeated Hamburger SV 3:2. The match was played in Bundesliga 2013.

Rivalry since 2010

FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV Head to Head Results· 17

FSV Mainz 05 and Hamburger SV have met 17 times — FSV Mainz 05 won 5, Hamburger SV won 6, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Hamburger SV leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 17 meetings. A combined 41 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.41 per match (20 for the home side, 21 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 9 matches (53%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 games (53%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Hamburger SV are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–4 in 2011.

Drawn
6
·
Total goals
41 · 2.4/match
Both scored
9/17 · 53%
Over 2.5
9/17 · 53%

Recent Meetings

20/02/26Bundesliga
Match Details
05/10/25Bundesliga
Match Details
03/03/18Bundesliga
Match Details
14/10/17Bundesliga
Match Details
07/05/17Bundesliga
Match Details
17/12/16Bundesliga
Match Details
30/04/16Bundesliga
Match Details
05/12/15Bundesliga
Match Details
03/05/15Bundesliga
Match Details
07/12/14Bundesliga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 24 v 2011

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, FSV Mainz 05 have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Hamburger SV show 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

FSV Mainz 053wins
4draws10 meetings
Hamburger SV3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (54%) — the odds may underestimate Hamburger SV.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 54.5%Draw 24.9%Away 25.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.823.803.75
Max1.854.254.25
Market favourite:FSV Mainz 05 · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market53.9%23.1%23.1%
Public market51.4%23.5%25.1%
Δ2.5%0.4%2.0%

FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

FSV Mainz 05
Result vs. Market: FSV Mainz 05 (55%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

FSV Mainz 05Half-time:11Hamburger SV
13Shots20
6Shots on target7

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

20 Feb 202625/262.10/3.40/3.50
5 Oct 202525/262.84/3.51/2.44
14/10/1717/181.73/3.73/5.21
3 Mar 201817/182.27/3.27/3.39
17/12/1616/171.96/3.58/4.05
5 Jul 201716/172.37/3.45/3.01
12 May 201515/162.34/3.33/3.17
30/04/1615/161.79/3.75/4.59
12 Jul 201414/152.09/3.49/3.61
5 Mar 201514/151.76/3.75/4.81

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: FSV Mainz 05

W 224D 180L 275
Over 2.554
Goals scored901

Away Record: Hamburger SV

W 315D 240L 328
Over 2.554
Goals scored1182

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026