Bundesliga · Season 2017
Match Events
assist: D. Aogo
Match Statistics
Match Summary
VfB Stuttgart defeated FSV Mainz 05 1:0. The match was played in Bundesliga 2017. Goals were scored by H. Badstuber 53′. 3 yellow cards were shown. VfB Stuttgart had 52% possession while FSV Mainz 05 held 48%. VfB Stuttgart had 17 shots (4 on target) compared to 13 (6 on target) for FSV Mainz 05. VfB Stuttgart made 3 substitutions, FSV Mainz 05 made 3.
VfB Stuttgart vs FSV Mainz 05 Head to Head Results
29 stretnutíRecent Meetings
Recent Form
VfB Stuttgart
FSV Mainz 05
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.3
Average goals per game
70%
Games with 3+ goals
80%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (42%) — the odds may underestimate VfB Stuttgart.
Market Summary
Margin: 4.4%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.30 | 3.20 | 3.10 |
| Max | 2.32 | 3.56 | 3.25 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 42.3% | 27.5% | 30.2% |
| Public market | 41.3% | 28.0% | 30.7% |
VfB Stuttgart vs FSV Mainz 05 — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2625/26 | FSV Mainz 05 | 2–2 | VfB Stuttgart | 3.20/3.60/2.15 |
| 26/10/2525/26 | VfB Stuttgart | 2–1 | FSV Mainz 05 | 1.77/4.06/4.29 |
| 25/01/2524/25 | FSV Mainz 05 | 2–0 | VfB Stuttgart | 2.83/3.48/2.46 |
| 31/08/2424/25 | VfB Stuttgart | 3–3 | FSV Mainz 05 | 1.63/4.25/5.11 |
| 11/02/2423/24 | VfB Stuttgart | 3–1 | FSV Mainz 05 | 1.43/4.67/7.15 |
| 16/09/2323/24 | FSV Mainz 05 | 1–3 | VfB Stuttgart | 2.50/3.47/2.67 |
| 21/05/2322/23 | FSV Mainz 05 | 1–4 | VfB Stuttgart | 2.51/3.55/2.71 |
| 21/01/2322/23 | VfB Stuttgart | 1–1 | FSV Mainz 05 | 2.41/3.51/2.90 |
| 16/04/2221/22 | FSV Mainz 05 | 0–0 | VfB Stuttgart | 2.03/3.54/3.72 |
| 26/11/2121/22 | VfB Stuttgart | 2–1 | FSV Mainz 05 | 2.91/3.30/2.51 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: VfB Stuttgart
Away Record: FSV Mainz 05
Data: football-data.co.uk
API data: 11 May 2026