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RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin

20 January 2021 at 19:30Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
Referee: M. Schmidt

Match Summary

RB Leipzig defeated Union Berlin 1:0. The match was played in Bundesliga 2020.

Rivalry since 2014

RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin Head to Head Results· 18

RB Leipzig and Union Berlin have met 18 times — RB Leipzig won 8, Union Berlin won 7, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2014. RB Leipzig leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 18 meetings. A combined 52 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.89 per match (31 for the home side, 21 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 12 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 games (78%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2015.

Drawn
3
·
Total goals
52 · 2.9/match
Both scored
12/18 · 67%
Over 2.5
14/18 · 78%

Recent Meetings

24/04/26Bundesliga
Match Details
12/12/25Bundesliga
Match Details
01/02/25Bundesliga
Match Details
14/09/24Bundesliga
Match Details
04/02/24Bundesliga
Match Details
03/09/23Bundesliga
Match Details
11/02/23Bundesliga
Match Details
20/08/22Bundesliga
Match Details
23/04/22Bundesliga
Match Details
20/04/22DFB-Pokal
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2015

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 0 matches, RB Leipzig have recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats. Union Berlin show 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses from their last 1 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

RB Leipzig3wins
2draws10 meetings
Union Berlin5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (63%) — the odds may underestimate Union Berlin.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 66.1%Draw 24.1%Away 14.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.504.007.00
Max1.544.337.44
Over 2.5: 58.1%Under 2.5: 47.6%
Market favourite:RB Leipzig · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market63.3%23.6%13.1%
Public market64.1%22.2%13.7%
Δ0.8%1.4%0.6%

RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

RB Leipzig
Result vs. Market: RB Leipzig (66%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

RB LeipzigHalf-time:00Union Berlin
15Shots4
5Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

24 Apr 202625/261.48/4.75/6.00
12 Dec 202525/263.24/3.49/2.25
1 Feb 202524/253.13/3.47/2.26
14 Sept 202424/251.47/4.56/6.71
4 Feb 202423/241.39/4.93/7.64
3 Sept 202323/243.25/3.28/2.20
11 Feb 202322/231.72/3.70/5.19
20 Aug 202222/233.60/3.51/2.08
23 Apr 202221/221.54/4.04/6.66
3 Dec 202121/223.57/3.58/2.06

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: RB Leipzig

W 180D 82L 77
Over 2.562
Goals scored658

Away Record: Union Berlin

W 86D 61L 90
Over 2.552
Goals scored300

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026