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Spal vs Inter

Full Time

Serie A · Season 2018

Stadio Paolo Mazza, Ferrara7 October 2018 at 19:30
Home

Spal

12
Away

Inter

Referee: Fabio Maresca

Match Events

Spal
Inter
Kick Off
14′
M. Icardi

assist: Š. Vrsaljko

Manuel Lazzari31′
Half Time
Mattia Valoti50′
Simone Missiroli52′
M. AntenucciA. Paloschi
66′
67′
K. BaldéM. Politano
A. Paloschi
72′
77′
Borja ValeroLautaro Martínez
78′
M. Icardi

assist: I. Perišić

M. ValotiEverton Luiz
79′
80′João Miranda
82′
M. IcardiR. Gagliardini
S. MissiroliG. Moncini
83′
Pasquale Schiattarella84′
Everton Luiz86′
Felipe86′
Full Time

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal5
14Total Shots13
2Blocked Shots5
11Shots insidebox9
3Shots outsidebox4
13Fouls21
10Corner Kicks9
0Offsides2
51%Ball Possession49%
6Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
436Total passes411
379Passes accurate344
87%Passes %84%

Match Summary

Inter defeated Spal 2:1. The match was played in Serie A 2018. Goals were scored by M. Icardi 14′, A. Paloschi 72′, M. Icardi 78′. 8 yellow cards were shown. Spal had 51% possession while Inter held 49%. Spal had 14 shots (5 on target) compared to 13 (3 on target) for Inter. Spal made 3 substitutions, Inter made 3.

Rivalry since 2017

Spal vs Inter Head to Head Results

5 stretnutí
Spal
0
wins
Drawn
1
Inter
4
wins
Total goals
13 · 2.6/match
Both scored
2/5 · 40%
Over 2.5
2/5 · 40%

Recent Form

Spal

WLWDDD

Inter

WDWWWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Inter dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Spal0wins
1draws6 meetings
Inter5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (17%) — the odds may underestimate Inter.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 17.0%Draw 26.9%Away 60.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min5.803.601.61
Max6.003.801.68
Market favourite:Inter · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market16.5%25.7%57.7%
Public market15.9%25.0%59.1%
Δ0.7%0.7%1.4%

Spal vs Inter — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Inter
Result vs. Market: Inter (60%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

SpalHalf-time:01Inter
9Shots6
6Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
16/07/20Spal0–4Inter9.25/5.40/1.32
01/12/19Inter2–1Spal1.26/5.77/12.41
10/03/19Inter2–0Spal1.41/4.47/8.93
07/10/18Spal1–2Inter5.89/3.72/1.65
10/09/17Inter2–0Spal1.24/6.49/13.08
28/01/18Spal1–1Inter5.57/3.84/1.66

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Spal

W 24D 28L 62
Over 2.551
Goals scored110

Away Record: Inter

W 664D 287L 256
Over 2.554
Goals scored2148

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026