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Parma vs Lecce

4 October 2025 at 14:00Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
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Parma

01
Away

Lecce

Referee: Daniele Doveri

Match Summary

Lecce defeated Parma 1:0. The match was played in Serie A 2025. Goals were scored by R. Sottil 38′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Parma had 63% possession while Lecce held 37%. Parma had 10 shots (2 on target) compared to 7 (3 on target) for Lecce. Expected goals: Parma 0.59 — Lecce 0.50. Parma made 5 substitutions, Lecce made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between Parma and Lecce — 1 goal and 3 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
E. ValeriM. Lovik
26′
38′
R. Sottil

assist: A. Gallo

Half Time
S. BritschgiP. Almqvist
46′
O. SorensenA. Benedyczak
67′
76′
N. StulicF. Camarda
A. BernabeN. Estevez
84′
M. Djuric
84′
88′
M. BerishaC. Ndaba
88′
L. CoulibalyM. Kaba
Full Time

Match Statistics

Parma had 63% possession against Lecce's 37%. Parma registered 10 shots (2 on target) while Lecce managed 7 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 4–9. Fouls committed: 16–16.

Shots on Goal
2
3
Shots Off Goal
6
3
Total Shots
10
7
Blocked Shots
2
1
Shots inside the Box
7
4
Shots outside the Box
3
3
Fouls
16
16
Corner Kicks
4
9
Offsides
2
2
Ball Possession
63%
37%
Yellow Cards
1
2
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
2
Total Passes
476
277
Accurate Passes
388
182
Pass Accuracy
82%
66%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.59
0.50
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.23
0.23

Rivalry since 2010

Parma vs Lecce Head to Head Results· 14

Parma and Lecce have met 14 times — Parma won 6, Lecce won 4, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Parma leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 14 meetings. A combined 47 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.36 per match (23 for the home side, 24 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 9 matches (64%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 games (64%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–4 in 2020.

6
wins
Drawn
4
·
4
wins
Total goals
47 · 3.4/match
Both scored
9/14 · 64%
Over 2.5
9/14 · 64%

Recent Meetings

11/01/26Serie A
Match Details
31/01/25Serie A
Match Details
21/09/24Serie A
Match Details
01/11/23Coppa Italia
Match Details
29/07/22Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
19/03/22Serie B
Match Details
07/11/21Serie B
Match Details
15/08/21Coppa Italia
Match Details
02/08/20Serie A
Match Details
13/01/20Serie A
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 34 v 2020

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Parma have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. Lecce show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Parma

WLLLWW

Lecce

WWLWDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Parma dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Parma6wins
2draws10 meetings
Lecce2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.1

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 4.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 54.1%Draw 27.1%Away 23.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.853.684.10
Max1.853.704.45
Over 2.5: 45.5%Under 2.5: 59.9%
Market favourite:Parma · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market52.1%26.2%21.7%
Public market51.2%25.6%23.1%
Δ0.9%0.6%1.5%

Parma vs Lecce — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Lecce
Result vs. Market: Parma (54%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ParmaHalf-time:01Lecce
10Shots7
2Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

11 Jan 202625/262.77/2.99/2.91
4 Oct 202525/261.85/3.69/4.28
31 Jan 202524/252.14/3.40/3.48
21 Sept 202424/252.21/3.45/3.31
2 Aug 202019/201.53/4.63/5.69
13 Jan 202019/201.88/3.83/3.89
14/05/0099/00
16/01/0099/00
19/04/9897/98
21/12/9797/98

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Parma

W 331D 271L 340
Over 2.550
Goals scored1213

Away Record: Lecce

W 126D 163L 293
Over 2.551
Goals scored599

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026