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Fiorentina vs Cagliari

24 January 2026 at 17:00Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence
12
Referee: Marco Guida

Match Summary

Cagliari defeated Fiorentina 2:1. The match was played in Serie A 2025. Goals were scored by S. Kilicsoy 31′, M. Palestra 47′, M. Brescianini 74′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Fiorentina had 70% possession while Cagliari held 30%. Fiorentina had 15 shots (3 on target) compared to 10 (6 on target) for Cagliari. Expected goals: Fiorentina 2.03 — Cagliari 1.28. Fiorentina made 4 substitutions, Cagliari made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Fiorentina and Cagliari — 3 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
R. MandragoraG. Fabbian
46′
C. NdourJ. Harrison
59′
64′
S. EspositoI. Sulemana
71′
S. KilicsoyG. Borrelli
M. Brescianini

assist: Dodo

74′
80′
A. ObertR. Idrissi
80′
L. MazzitelliM. Prati
80′
M. PalestraG. Zappa
M. SolomonN. Fortini
83′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Fiorentina had 70% possession against Cagliari's 30%. Fiorentina registered 15 shots (3 on target) while Cagliari managed 10 (6 on target). Corner kicks: 8–3. Fouls committed: 11–17.

Shots on Goal
3
6
Shots Off Goal
6
1
Total Shots
15
10
Blocked Shots
6
3
Shots inside the Box
9
7
Shots outside the Box
6
3
Fouls
11
17
Corner Kicks
8
3
Offsides
1
1
Ball Possession
70%
30%
Yellow Cards
2
3
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
2
Total Passes
613
272
Accurate Passes
547
204
Pass Accuracy
89%
75%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
1.28
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.27
0.27

Rivalry since 2010

Fiorentina vs Cagliari Head to Head Results· 27

Fiorentina and Cagliari have met 27 times — Fiorentina won 13, Cagliari won 6, with 8 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Fiorentina leads the head-to-head with 13 victories from 27 meetings. A combined 66 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.44 per match (40 for the home side, 26 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 13 matches (48%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 games (44%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Fiorentina are currently unbeaten in the last 10 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–5 in 2016.

Drawn
8
·
Total goals
66 · 2.4/match
Both scored
13/27 · 48%
Over 2.5
12/27 · 44%

Recent Meetings

24/08/25Serie A
Match Details
23/04/25Serie A
Match Details
08/12/24Serie A
Match Details
23/05/24Serie A
Match Details
02/10/23Serie A
Match Details
23/01/22Serie A
Match Details
24/10/21Serie A
Match Details
12/05/21Serie A
Match Details
10/01/21Serie A
Match Details
08/07/20Serie A
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 35 v 2016

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Fiorentina have recorded 1 win, 4 draws and 1 defeat. Cagliari show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Cagliari

WWLDWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Fiorentina dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Fiorentina6wins
3draws10 meetings
Cagliari1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (59%) — the odds may underestimate Fiorentina.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 61.7%Draw 26.3%Away 17.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.623.805.75
Max1.623.805.75
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite:Fiorentina · Moderate favourite

Result vs. Market

Cagliari
Result vs. Market: Fiorentina (62%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

FiorentinaHalf-time:01Cagliari
15Shots10
3Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

24 Jan 202625/261.62/3.80/5.75
24 Aug 202525/263.31/3.31/2.27
23 Apr 202524/253.11/3.16/2.48
8 Dec 202424/251.51/4.46/5.99
23 May 202423/244.27/3.80/1.81
2 Oct 202323/241.47/4.26/6.99
23 Jan 202221/225.47/4.05/1.61
24 Oct 202121/221.68/4.01/5.18
12 May 202120/212.53/3.09/3.11
10 Jan 202120/211.77/3.87/4.54

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Fiorentina

W 441D 315L 350
Over 2.551
Goals scored1613

Away Record: Cagliari

W 259D 273L 430
Over 2.549
Goals scored1086

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026