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Brescia vs Novara

14 October 2017 at 14:00Stadio Mario Rigamonti, Brescia
01
Away

Novara

Referee: Marco Piccinini

Match Summary

Novara defeated Brescia 1:0. The match was played in Serie B 2017.

Rivalry since 2016

Brescia vs Novara Head to Head Results· 3

Brescia and Novara have met 3 times — Brescia won 1, Novara won 1, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. A combined 8 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.67 per match (4 for the home side, 4 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (67%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–3 in 2017.

1
wins
Drawn
1
·
1
wins
Total goals
8 · 2.7/match
Both scored
2/3 · 67%
Over 2.5
2/3 · 67%

Recent Meetings

12/03/18Serie B
Match Details
30/04/17Serie B
Match Details
11/12/16Serie B
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 23 v 2017

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 1 matches, Brescia have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. Novara show 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Brescia2wins
4draws10 meetings
Novara4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.6

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (39%) — the odds may underestimate Novara.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 41.9%Draw 32.6%Away 30.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.303.003.00
Max2.483.103.40
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market39.3%31.6%29.1%
Public market40.9%31.4%27.7%
Δ1.6%0.2%1.4%

Brescia vs Novara — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Novara
Result vs. Market: Brescia (42%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BresciaHalf-time:00Novara
8Shots6
4Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

14/10/1717/182.39/3.06/3.25
3 Dec 201817/182.16/3.21/3.54
12 Nov 201616/172.84/3.08/2.63
30/04/1716/172.00/3.20/3.50
11 Jul 201515/161.97/3.17/4.22
26/03/1615/162.69/3.06/2.81
9 Jul 201313/142.34/3.19/3.13
2 Oct 201413/142.43/3.04/3.13
13/10/1212/132.26/3.09/3.40
3 Sept 201312/132.21/3.04/3.47

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Brescia

W 296D 270L 240
Over 2.545
Goals scored1044

Away Record: Novara

W 91D 75L 86
Over 2.542
Goals scored323

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026