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Novara vs Carpi

20 January 2018 at 14:00Stadio Silvio Piola, Novara
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Novara

10
Away

Carpi

Referee: Federico La Penna

Match Summary

Novara defeated Carpi 1:0. The match was played in Serie B 2017.

Rivalry since 2016

Novara vs Carpi Head to Head Results· 4

Novara and Carpi have met 4 times — Novara won 2, Carpi won 2, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. A combined 9 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.25 per match (4 for the home side, 5 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–2 in 2020.

2
wins
Drawn
0
·
Carpi
2
wins
Total goals
9 · 2.3/match
Both scored
2/4 · 50%
Over 2.5
2/4 · 50%

Recent Meetings

Carpi12Novara
13/07/20Serie C - Girone A
Match Details
Carpi10Novara
26/08/17Serie B
Match Details
Carpi20Novara
18/05/17Serie B
Match Details
Novara21Carpi
30/12/16Serie B
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 12 v 2020

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Novara have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats. Carpi show 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from their last 0 outings.

Novara

WLLLLW

Carpi

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Novara3wins
0draws6 meetings
Carpi3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.5

Average goals per game

17%

Games with 3+ goals

17%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (44%) — the odds may underestimate Novara.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.8%Draw 32.4%Away 27.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.103.003.40
Max2.253.153.95
Market favourite:Novara · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market44.3%31.0%24.7%
Public market44.7%30.3%25.0%

Novara vs Carpi — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Novara
Result vs. Market: Novara (46%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

NovaraHalf-time:10Carpi
6Shots4
2Shots on target0

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

Carpi10Novara
26/08/1717/182.11/3.06/3.92
Novara10Carpi
20/01/1817/182.18/3.08/3.70
Novara21Carpi
30/12/1616/172.45/3.02/3.18
Carpi20Novara
18/05/1716/171.61/3.68/5.81
Carpi10Novara
14/10/1313/142.85/3.07/2.59
Novara10Carpi
22/03/1413/142.36/2.92/3.43

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Novara

W 91D 75L 86
Over 2.542
Goals scored323

Away Record: Carpi

W 73D 63L 68
Over 2.537
Goals scored221

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026