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Modena vs Virtus Entella

5 October 2025 at 18:30Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena

Match Summary

Modena defeated Virtus Entella 2:0. The match was played in Serie B 2025. Goals were scored by E. Gliozzi 66′ (pen.), P. Mendes 90′. 1 yellow card was shown. Modena had 56% possession while Virtus Entella held 44%. Modena had 18 shots (7 on target) compared to 15 (3 on target) for Virtus Entella. Modena made 5 substitutions, Virtus Entella made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Modena and Virtus Entella — 2 goals and 1 card recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
N. PyyhtiaA. Sersanti
62′
F. Di MarianoP. Mendes
62′
E. Gliozzi

Penalty

66′
L. ZanimacchiaM. Cotali
73′
E. GliozziG. Defrel
73′
73′
D. BaritiT. Fumagalli
81′
L. ParodiT. Del Lungo
81′
S. SantoroL. Magnino
89′
89′
S. Di MarioA. Boccadamo
89′
A. DebenedettiD. Ankeye
P. Mendes

assist: L. Magnino

90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Modena had 56% possession against Virtus Entella's 44%. Modena registered 18 shots (7 on target) while Virtus Entella managed 15 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 5–3. Fouls committed: 11–17.

Shots on Goal
7
3
Shots Off Goal
6
7
Total Shots
18
15
Blocked Shots
5
5
Shots inside the Box
11
12
Shots outside the Box
7
3
Fouls
11
17
Corner Kicks
5
3
Offsides
0
1
Ball Possession
56%
44%
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
5
Total Passes
449
344
Accurate Passes
372
264
Pass Accuracy
83%
77%
Expected Goals (xG)
0
0
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0
0

Rivalry since 2021

Modena vs Virtus Entella Head to Head Results· 3

Modena and Virtus Entella have met 3 times — Modena won 1, Virtus Entella won 2, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2021. Virtus Entella leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 3 meetings. A combined 8 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.67 per match (4 for the home side, 4 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (67%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–1 in 2026.

1
wins
Drawn
0
·
Total goals
8 · 2.7/match
Both scored
2/3 · 67%
Over 2.5
2/3 · 67%

Recent Meetings

03/03/26Serie B
Match Details
30/01/22Serie C - Girone B
Match Details
25/09/21Serie C - Girone B
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 21 v 2026

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Modena have recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats. Virtus Entella show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Modena2wins
1draws6 meetings
Virtus Entella3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.8

Average goals per game

17%

Games with 3+ goals

33%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (52%) — the odds may underestimate Modena.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 55.9%Draw 29.4%Away 20.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.763.404.75
Max1.823.405.00
Over 2.5: 42.6%Under 2.5: 63.7%
Market favourite:Modena · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market52.1%27.9%20.0%
Public market53.5%27.7%18.8%
Δ1.4%0.2%1.1%

Modena vs Virtus Entella — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Modena
Result vs. Market: Modena (56%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ModenaHalf-time:00Virtus Entella
18Shots15
7Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

3 Mar 202625/263.50/3.25/2.05
5 Oct 202525/261.79/3.40/4.88
28/11/1515/161.97/3.10/4.38
16/04/1615/161.93/3.24/4.35
16/12/1414/153.10/2.97/2.50
4 Nov 201514/151.99/3.06/4.36

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Modena

W 226D 235L 233
Over 2.542
Goals scored824

Away Record: Virtus Entella

W 76D 94L 112
Over 2.540
Goals scored295

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026