21 December 2025 at 15:15

02
Full Time
Stadium: Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Barcelona dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Villarreal3wins
0draws10 meetings
Barcelona7wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

4.3

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (27%) — the odds may underestimate Barcelona.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 28.8%Draw 20.8%Away 54.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.404.751.83
Max3.544.861.83
Over 2.5: 77.5%Under 2.5: 26.7%
Market favourite:Barcelona · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market27.3%19.9%52.8%
Public market28.0%20.0%52.0%

Villarreal vs Barcelona — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Barcelona
Result vs. Market: Barcelona (55%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

VillarrealHalf-time:01Barcelona
14Shots19
5Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
28/02/26Barcelona4–1Villarreal1.30/6.50/7.00
21/12/25Villarreal0–2Barcelona3.47/4.80/1.83
18/05/25Barcelona2–3Villarreal1.85/4.17/3.76
22/09/24Villarreal1–5Barcelona3.83/4.05/1.86
27/01/24Barcelona3–5Villarreal1.33/5.73/7.92
27/08/23Villarreal3–4Barcelona3.47/3.55/2.00
12/02/23Villarreal0–1Barcelona4.16/3.92/1.82
20/10/22Barcelona3–0Villarreal1.50/4.64/6.16
22/05/22Barcelona0–2Villarreal2.11/3.96/3.12
27/11/21Villarreal1–3Barcelona2.72/3.44/2.60

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Villarreal

W 407D 243L 293
Over 2.551
Goals scored1388

Away Record: Barcelona

W 815D 240L 200
Over 2.563
Goals scored2866

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Barcelona defeated Villarreal 2:0. The match was played in La Liga 2025. Goals were scored by Raphinha 12′ (pen.), Lamine Yamal 63′. 2 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Villarreal had 21% possession while Barcelona held 79%. Villarreal had 14 shots (5 on target) compared to 19 (5 on target) for Barcelona. Expected goals: Villarreal 1.66 — Barcelona 2.72. Villarreal made 3 substitutions, Barcelona made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between Villarreal and Barcelona — 2 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.

Villarreal
Barcelona
Kick Off
12′
Raphinha

Penalty

Half Time
62′
F. TorresR. Lewandowski
62′
FermínM. Rashford
63′
Lamine Yamal

assist: F. de Jong

A. PerezG. Mikautadze
65′
66′
E. GarciaM. Bernal
N. PepeT. Oluwaseyi
75′
D. ParejoC. Macia
75′
79′
J. KoundeM. Casado
Full Time

Match Statistics

Villarreal had 21% possession against Barcelona's 79%. Villarreal registered 14 shots (5 on target) while Barcelona managed 19 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 5–10. Fouls committed: 10–8.

5Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal9
14Total Shots19
3Blocked Shots5
11Shots insidebox12
3Shots outsidebox7
10Fouls8
5Corner Kicks10
6Offsides1
21%Ball Possession79%
1Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves5
197Total passes798
135Passes accurate730
69%Passes %91%
1.66expected_goals2.72
0goals_prevented0

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Villarreal have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats. Barcelona show 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.

Villarreal

WDWLWD

Barcelona

WWWWLW

Villarreal vs Barcelona Head to Head Results

Villarreal and Barcelona have met 1 times — Villarreal won 0, Barcelona won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2026. Barcelona leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 1 meetings. A combined 5 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 5.00 per match (1 for the home side, 4 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–1 in 2026.

0

Villarreal

0

Drawn

1

Barcelona

Goals: 1Goals: 4

Recent Meetings (1)

28 Feb 2026Barcelona4 – 1Villarreal
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026