10 January 2026 at 15:15
La Liga · Spain · Season 2025Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.1
Average goals per game
60%
Games with 3+ goals
80%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (65%) — the odds may underestimate Villarreal.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.1%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.45 | 4.33 | 7.00 |
| Max | 1.48 | 4.54 | 7.03 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 65.1% | 21.2% | 13.7% |
| Public market | 64.9% | 21.7% | 13.4% |
Villarreal vs Alaves — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/2625/26 | Alaves | 1–1 | Villarreal | 3.25/3.40/2.20 |
| 10/01/2625/26 | Villarreal | 3–1 | Alaves | 1.46/4.44/7.02 |
| 08/03/2524/25 | Alaves | 1–0 | Villarreal | 3.08/3.29/2.39 |
| 09/11/2424/25 | Villarreal | 3–0 | Alaves | 1.63/4.05/5.45 |
| 10/02/2423/24 | Alaves | 1–1 | Villarreal | 2.18/3.44/3.30 |
| 22/10/2323/24 | Villarreal | 1–1 | Alaves | 1.70/3.84/4.98 |
| 30/04/2221/22 | Alaves | 2–1 | Villarreal | 3.45/3.42/2.15 |
| 21/12/2121/22 | Villarreal | 5–2 | Alaves | 1.36/5.03/8.93 |
| 21/04/2120/21 | Alaves | 2–1 | Villarreal | 4.39/3.55/1.88 |
| 30/09/2020/21 | Villarreal | 3–1 | Alaves | 1.59/3.94/5.94 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Villarreal
Away Record: Alaves
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Villarreal defeated Alaves 3:1. The match was played in La Liga 2025. Goals were scored by A. Moleiro 49′, G. Moreno 55′, G. Mikautadze 75′, T. Martinez 85′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Villarreal had 44% possession while Alaves held 56%. Villarreal had 11 shots (4 on target) compared to 16 (5 on target) for Alaves. Expected goals: Villarreal 1.50 — Alaves 0.94. Villarreal made 5 substitutions, Alaves made 4.
Match Events
Key match events between Villarreal and Alaves — 4 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.
assist: A. Moleiro
Match Statistics
Villarreal had 44% possession against Alaves's 56%. Villarreal registered 11 shots (4 on target) while Alaves managed 16 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 1–6. Fouls committed: 10–14.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Villarreal have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats. Alaves show 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Villarreal
Alaves
Villarreal vs Alaves Head to Head Results
Villarreal and Alaves have met 1 times — Villarreal won 0, Alaves won 0, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2026. A combined 2 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (1 for the home side, 1 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 games (0%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–1 in 2026.
0
Villarreal
1
Drawn
0
Alaves
Recent Meetings (1)
API data: 15 Mar 2026