24 January 2026 at 20:00

02
Full Time
Referee: César Soto Grado
Stadium: Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Villarreal2wins
3draws10 meetings
Real Madrid5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.2

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 5.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 29.4%Draw 25.6%Away 50.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.403.902.00
Max3.403.902.00
Over 2.5: 66.7%Under 2.5: 38.0%
Market favourite:Real Madrid · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Real Madrid
Result vs. Market: Real Madrid (50%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

VillarrealHalf-time:00Real Madrid
8Shots14
1Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
24/01/26Villarreal0–2Real Madrid3.40/3.90/2.00
04/10/25Real Madrid3–1Villarreal1.46/5.19/5.91
15/03/25Villarreal1–2Real Madrid3.06/3.84/2.16
05/10/24Real Madrid2–0Villarreal1.28/6.30/9.35
19/05/24Villarreal4–4Real Madrid3.20/3.87/2.05
17/12/23Real Madrid4–1Villarreal1.27/6.27/9.24
08/04/23Real Madrid2–3Villarreal1.53/4.37/5.97
07/01/23Villarreal2–1Real Madrid3.36/3.79/2.06
12/02/22Villarreal0–0Real Madrid2.57/3.48/2.71
25/09/21Real Madrid0–0Villarreal1.51/4.71/6.00

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Villarreal

W 407D 243L 293
Over 2.551
Goals scored1388

Away Record: Real Madrid

W 802D 237L 216
Over 2.561
Goals scored2722

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Real Madrid defeated Villarreal 2:0. The match was played in La Liga 2025. Goals were scored by K. Mbappe 47′, K. Mbappe 90′ (pen.). 4 yellow cards were shown. Villarreal had 42% possession while Real Madrid held 58%. Villarreal had 8 shots (1 on target) compared to 14 (4 on target) for Real Madrid. Expected goals: Villarreal 0.58 — Real Madrid 1.58. Villarreal made 5 substitutions, Real Madrid made 2.

Match Events

Key match events between Villarreal and Real Madrid — 2 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Villarreal
Real Madrid
Kick Off
J. FoythR. Marin
24′
Half Time
T. BuchananN. Pepe
70′
G. MorenoT. Oluwaseyi
70′
74′
F. MastantuonoG. Garcia
D. ParejoT. Partey
77′
G. MikautadzeA. Perez
77′
80′
A. GulerB. Diaz
90′
K. Mbappe

Penalty

Full Time

Match Statistics

Villarreal had 42% possession against Real Madrid's 58%. Villarreal registered 8 shots (1 on target) while Real Madrid managed 14 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 6–6. Fouls committed: 19–10.

1Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal4
8Total Shots14
3Blocked Shots6
5Shots insidebox9
3Shots outsidebox5
19Fouls10
6Corner Kicks6
0Offsides0
42%Ball Possession58%
3Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves1
384Total passes551
311Passes accurate483
81%Passes %88%
0.58expected_goals1.58
0goals_prevented0

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Villarreal have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats. Real Madrid show 1 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Villarreal

WDWLWD

Real Madrid

DWLDLL

Villarreal vs Real Madrid Head to Head Results

Villarreal and Real Madrid have met 1 times — Villarreal won 0, Real Madrid won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Real Madrid leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 1 meetings. A combined 4 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 4.00 per match (1 for the home side, 3 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–1 in 2025.

0

Villarreal

0

Drawn

1

Real Madrid

Goals: 1Goals: 3

Recent Meetings (1)

4 Oct 2025Real Madrid3 – 1Villarreal
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026