League One · Season 2025
Match Events
Own Goal
Match Statistics
Match Summary
Luton defeated AFC Wimbledon 1:0. The match was played in League One 2025. Goals were scored by R. Johnson 85′ (o.g.). 2 yellow cards were shown. Luton had 65% possession while AFC Wimbledon held 35%. Luton had 6 shots (1 on target) compared to 2 (0 on target) for AFC Wimbledon. Expected goals: Luton 0.74 — AFC Wimbledon 0.04. Luton made 5 substitutions, AFC Wimbledon made 3.
Luton vs AFC Wimbledon Head to Head Results
8 stretnutíRecent Meetings
Recent Form
Luton
AFC Wimbledon
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Luton dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.5
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
25%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (64%) — the odds may underestimate AFC Wimbledon.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.2%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.49 | 4.33 | 5.50 |
| Max | 1.50 | 4.49 | 6.65 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 64.3% | 21.3% | 14.4% |
| Public market | 61.8% | 21.4% | 16.8% |
| Δ | 2.5% | — | 2.4% |
Luton vs AFC Wimbledon — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Luton
Away Record: AFC Wimbledon
Data: football-data.co.uk
API data: 11 May 2026