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Stevenage vs Luton

Lamex Stadium, Stevenage4 October 2025 at 15:00
20
Away

Luton

Referee: James Bell

Match Events

Stevenage
Luton
Kick Off
35′Christ Makosso
Harvey White40′
Dan Sweeney45+1′
Half Time
C. Campbell

assist: D. Kemp

65′
68′
M. AndersenM. Alli
68′
G. KoduaS. Morris
68′
J. RichardsJ. Clark
68′
L. NordasJ. Gbode
B. LubalaJ. Roberts
69′
J. Roberts

assist: J. Reid

71′
80′
L. FanneN. Wells
Filip Marschall83′
J. ReidG. Ahadme
88′
D. KempD. Phillips
89′
C. CampbellP. Patterson
90+4′
Full Time

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal3
1Shots off Goal2
6Total Shots9
0Blocked Shots4
3Shots insidebox5
3Shots outsidebox4
10Fouls15
1Corner Kicks5
2Offsides1
44%Ball Possession56%
3Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves2
234Total passes283
124Passes accurate170
53%Passes %60%
0expected_goals0
0goals_prevented0

Match Summary

Stevenage defeated Luton 2:0. The match was played in League One 2025. Goals were scored by C. Campbell 65′, J. Roberts 71′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Stevenage had 44% possession while Luton held 56%. Stevenage had 6 shots (5 on target) compared to 9 (3 on target) for Luton. Stevenage made 4 substitutions, Luton made 5.

Rivalry since 2014

Stevenage vs Luton Head to Head Results

9 stretnutí
Stevenage
3
wins
Drawn
2
Luton
4
wins
Total goals
24 · 2.7/match
Both scored
5/9 · 56%
Over 2.5
4/9 · 44%

Recent Form

Stevenage

WDWDLW

Luton

WWWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Stevenage1wins
0draws2 meetings
Luton1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (34%) — the odds may underestimate Stevenage.

Market Summary

Margin: 7.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 36.2%Draw 31.5%Away 39.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.703.102.50
Max2.823.242.55
Over 2.5: 46.5%Under 2.5: 59.9%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market33.6%29.2%37.2%
Public market33.9%29.5%36.6%

Stevenage vs Luton — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Stevenage
Result vs. Market: Luton (40%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

StevenageHalf-time:00Luton
7Shots9
5Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
10/01/26Luton2–1Stevenage1.81/3.20/4.50
04/10/25Stevenage2–0Luton2.76/3.17/2.52

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Stevenage

W 99D 75L 102
Over 2.542
Goals scored310

Away Record: Luton

W 88D 45L 51
Over 2.554
Goals scored288

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026