Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.5
Average goals per game
40%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (45%) — the odds may underestimate Carlisle.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.1%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| Max | 2.20 | 3.63 | 3.49 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 45.2% | 26.9% | 28.0% |
| Public market | 44.7% | 27.6% | 27.6% |
Carlisle vs Newport County — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/2524/25 | Carlisle | 3–2 | Newport County | 1.70/3.91/4.37 |
| 11/02/2524/25 | Newport County | 1–0 | Carlisle | 2.76/3.37/2.51 |
| 14/01/2322/23 | Carlisle | 2–0 | Newport County | 2.14/3.22/3.61 |
| 24/09/2222/23 | Newport County | 1–1 | Carlisle | 2.19/3.42/3.29 |
| 15/03/2221/22 | Carlisle | 1–2 | Newport County | 3.06/3.23/2.41 |
| 19/10/2121/22 | Newport County | 2–2 | Carlisle | 2.03/3.40/3.72 |
| 13/04/2120/21 | Newport County | 0–0 | Carlisle | 2.78/3.05/2.74 |
| 03/11/2020/21 | Carlisle | 3–2 | Newport County | 2.86/3.23/2.55 |
| 10/03/2019/20 | Carlisle | 2–0 | Newport County | 2.82/2.96/2.78 |
| 05/10/1919/20 | Newport County | 1–0 | Carlisle | 1.77/3.94/4.49 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Carlisle
Away Record: Newport County
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Carlisle defeated Newport County 2:1. The match was played in League Two 2016. Goals were scored by M. Demetriou 12′, J. Ibehre 58′, N. Adams 60′. Carlisle made 2 substitutions, Newport County made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Carlisle and Newport County — 3 goals and 0 cards recorded during the match.
assist: S. Rigg
assist: M. Raynes
Lineups
Carlisle lined up in a — formation under K. Curle, while Newport County deployed a — under M. Flynn.
Midfield Control
Carlisle field 11 midfielders averaging —, versus Newport County's 11 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Carlisle have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats. Newport County show 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.
Carlisle
Newport County
API data: 16 Apr 2026