13 March 2021 at 15:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
5
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (27%) — the odds may underestimate Bolton.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.7%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 3.40 | 3.20 | 2.10 |
| Max | 3.60 | 3.47 | 2.13 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 27.1% | 27.7% | 45.2% |
| Public market | 26.5% | 28.1% | 45.4% |
Port Vale vs Bolton — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Port Vale
Away Record: Bolton
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Bolton defeated Port Vale 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2020. Goals were scored by G. Jones 63′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Port Vale had 37% possession while Bolton held 63%. Port Vale had 10 shots (4 on target) compared to 3 (2 on target) for Bolton. Port Vale made 5 substitutions, Bolton made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Port Vale and Bolton — 1 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.
assist: O. Afolayan
Match Statistics
Port Vale had 37% possession against Bolton's 63%. Port Vale registered 10 shots (4 on target) while Bolton managed 3 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 4–3. Fouls committed: 19–6.
Lineups
Port Vale lined up in a 4-4-2 formation under D. Pugh, while Bolton deployed a 4-2-3-1 under I. Evatt.
Defensive Solidity
Port Vale deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Bolton's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Port Vale field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Bolton's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Port Vale start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Bolton averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Substitutes
Coach: D. Pugh
Substitutes
Coach: I. Evatt
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Port Vale have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Bolton show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Port Vale
Bolton
Port Vale vs Bolton Head to Head Results
Port Vale and Bolton have met 3 times — Port Vale won 2, Bolton won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Port Vale leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 3 meetings. A combined 6 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (2 for the home side, 4 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 0 matches (0%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (33%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–0 in 2025.
2
Port Vale
0
Drawn
1
Bolton
Recent Meetings (3)
API data: 16 Apr 2026