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Afc Wimbledon vs Bury

Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium, Kingston upon Thames, Surrey11 October 2014 at 15:00
32
Away

Bury

Match Events

AFC Wimbledon
Bury
Kick Off
A. Akinfenwa

assist: G. Francomb

26′
A. Akinfenwa

assist: S. Rigg

37′
Half Time
49′
D. Mayor

assist: T. Soares

M. Tubbs

assist: G. Francomb

53′
58′
D. NardielloD. Rose
66′
P. MillsC. Hussey
73′
R. Lowe

Penalty

74′
N. AdamsC. Platt
M. TubbsA. Azeez
78′
G. FrancombT. Beere
78′
S. MooreA. Frampton
90+2′
Full Time

Lineups

Midfield Control

AFC Wimbledon field 11 midfielders averaging —, versus Bury's 11 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

AFC WimbledonPosition StrengthBury
AFC Wimbledon
20MidfielderJ. Shea
3MidfielderJ. Smith
6MidfielderA. Bennett
2MidfielderB. Fuller
27MidfielderA. Barrett
7MidfielderG. Francomb
8MidfielderS. Moore
4MidfielderD. Bulman
11MidfielderS. Rigg
9MidfielderM. Tubbs
10MidfielderA. Akinfenwa
Bury
1MidfielderS. Jalal
34MidfielderP. Mills
3MidfielderJ. McNulty
27MidfielderN. Cameron
19MidfielderT. Soares
6MidfielderK. Etuhu
2MidfielderC. Jones
8MidfielderN. Adams
10MidfielderD. Mayor
17MidfielderD. Nardiello
15MidfielderR. Lowe

Match Summary

AFC Wimbledon defeated Bury 3:2. The match was played in League Two 2014. Goals were scored by A. Akinfenwa 26′, A. Akinfenwa 37′, D. Mayor 49′, M. Tubbs 53′, R. Lowe 73′ (pen.). AFC Wimbledon made 3 substitutions, Bury made 3.

Rivalry since 2013

AFC Wimbledon vs Bury Head to Head Results

9 stretnutí
AFC Wimbledon
3
wins
Drawn
3
Bury
3
wins
Total goals
30 · 3.3/match
Both scored
6/9 · 67%
Over 2.5
6/9 · 67%

Recent Form

AFC Wimbledon

LWLLLL

Bury

WWWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

AFC Wimbledon1wins
1draws4 meetings
Bury2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (30%) — the odds may underestimate AFC Wimbledon.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 31.3%Draw 29.7%Away 43.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.103.252.30
Max3.283.442.38
Market favourite:Bury · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market29.6%28.2%42.2%
Public market30.4%28.6%40.9%
Δ0.8%0.4%1.3%

AFC Wimbledon vs Bury — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

AFC Wimbledon
Result vs. Market: Bury (43%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AFC WimbledonHalf-time:20Bury
13Shots19
6Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
11/10/14AFC Wimbledon3–2Bury3.19/3.36/2.33
25/04/15Bury2–0AFC Wimbledon1.50/4.33/7.20
23/11/13Bury1–1AFC Wimbledon2.31/3.38/3.25
22/02/14AFC Wimbledon0–1Bury2.72/3.22/2.78

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: AFC Wimbledon

W 126D 104L 138
Over 2.544
Goals scored451

Away Record: Bury

W 179D 134L 147
Over 2.547
Goals scored603

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026