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Carlisle vs Bristol Rovers

Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria28 March 2016 at 16:00

Match Events

Carlisle
Bristol Rovers
Kick Off
J. Stacey

assist: J. Kennedy

11′
22′
O. ClarkeL. Lawrence
22′
C. MontañoJ. Easter
27′
B. Bodin
Half Time
C. Wyke

assist: M. Raynes

49′
57′
M. Taylor
J. StaceyL. Joyce
62′
D. GraingerJ. Ibehre
66′
A. GillieadL. Pedro
74′
82′
R. GaffneyD. Leadbitter
J. Kennedy
85′
Full Time

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Carlisle is 7.30, compared to — for Bristol Rovers. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Carlisle's highest-rated starter is A. Gilliead (7.30), while Bristol Rovers's best-rated player is —.

Midfield Control

Carlisle field 11 midfielders averaging 7.30, versus Bristol Rovers's 11 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 75% for Carlisle and —% for Bristol Rovers. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Carlisle's starters have collected 1 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Bristol Rovers. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Carlisle's starting XI is 29.0 (youngest: A. Gilliead (29), oldest: A. Gilliead (29)), while Bristol Rovers average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Carlisle's starters average 2 league appearances each, versus 0 for Bristol Rovers. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

CarlislePosition StrengthBristol Rovers
7.30
Avg Rating
7.30Midfielder (11 v 11)
0G 0A0G 0A
Carlisle
1MidfielderM. Gillespie
3MidfielderD. Grainger
27MidfielderM. Ellis
5MidfielderM. Raynes
2MidfielderT. Miller
26MidfielderM. Gillesphey
7MidfielderJ. Kennedy
16MidfielderJ. Stacey
15MidfielderB. Comley
9MidfielderC. Wyke
17MidfielderA. Gilliead7.3
Bristol Rovers
1MidfielderS. Mildenhall
15MidfielderJ. Clarke
3MidfielderL. Brown
5MidfielderM. McChrystal
6MidfielderT. Parkes
14MidfielderC. Lines
23MidfielderB. Bodin
8MidfielderO. Clarke
10MidfielderM. Taylor
30MidfielderR. Gaffney
21MidfielderC. Montaño

Match Summary

Carlisle defeated Bristol Rovers 3:2. The match was played in League Two 2015. Goals were scored by J. Stacey 11′, B. Bodin 27′, C. Wyke 49′, M. Taylor 57′, J. Kennedy 85′. Carlisle made 3 substitutions, Bristol Rovers made 3.

Rivalry since 2015

Carlisle vs Bristol Rovers Head to Head Results

5 stretnutí
Carlisle
1
wins
Drawn
0
Bristol Rovers
4
wins
Total goals
10 · 2.0/match
Both scored
1/5 · 20%
Over 2.5
2/5 · 40%

Recent Form

Carlisle

LWWWDD

Bristol Rovers

DWWWWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Carlisle2wins
0draws4 meetings
Bristol Rovers2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.8

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

25%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (32%) — the odds may underestimate Carlisle.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 33.6%Draw 29.7%Away 40.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.903.202.43
Max3.043.512.50
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market32.1%27.8%40.1%
Public market32.4%28.6%38.9%
Δ0.4%0.8%1.2%

Carlisle vs Bristol Rovers — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Carlisle
Result vs. Market: Bristol Rovers (40%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CarlisleHalf-time:11Bristol Rovers
10Shots13
5Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
26/03/22Carlisle1–0Bristol Rovers3.28/3.32/2.23
09/10/21Bristol Rovers3–0Carlisle2.52/3.13/2.88
14/11/15Bristol Rovers2–0Carlisle1.91/3.73/4.09
28/03/16Carlisle3–2Bristol Rovers2.98/3.37/2.48

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Away Record: Bristol Rovers

W 161D 103L 150
Over 2.548
Goals scored535

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026