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Carlisle vs Hartlepool

Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria5 April 2016 at 19:45
10

Match Events

Carlisle
Hartlepool
Kick Off
Half Time
M. EllisH. Hope
46′
53′
B. PaynterR. Bingham
H. Hope

assist: M. Gillesphey

55′
A. GillieadA. Sweeney
67′
68′
J. GrayB. Walker
J. IbehreD. Asamoah
76′
Full Time

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Carlisle is 7.30, compared to — for Hartlepool. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Carlisle's highest-rated starter is A. Gilliead (7.30), while Hartlepool's best-rated player is —.

Midfield Control

Carlisle field 11 midfielders averaging 7.30, versus Hartlepool's 11 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 75% for Carlisle and —% for Hartlepool. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Carlisle's starters have collected 1 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Hartlepool. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Carlisle's starting XI is 29.0 (youngest: A. Gilliead (29), oldest: A. Gilliead (29)), while Hartlepool average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Carlisle's starters average 2 league appearances each, versus 0 for Hartlepool. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

CarlislePosition StrengthHartlepool
7.30
Avg Rating
7.30Midfielder (11 v 11)
0G 0A0G 0A
Carlisle
1MidfielderM. Gillespie
3MidfielderD. Grainger
27MidfielderM. Ellis
5MidfielderM. Raynes
2MidfielderT. Miller
26MidfielderM. Gillesphey
7MidfielderJ. Kennedy
16MidfielderJ. Stacey
15MidfielderB. Comley
14MidfielderJ. Ibehre
17MidfielderA. Gilliead7.3
Hartlepool
1MidfielderT. Carson
6MidfielderM. Bates
2MidfielderC. Magnay
26MidfielderA. Jackson
3MidfielderJ. Carroll
15MidfielderR. Oates
16MidfielderN. Featherstone
18MidfielderL. Hawkins
30MidfielderJ. Gray
10MidfielderB. Paynter
33MidfielderL. James

Match Summary

Carlisle defeated Hartlepool 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2015. Goals were scored by H. Hope 55′. Carlisle made 3 substitutions, Hartlepool made 2.

Rivalry since 2011

Carlisle vs Hartlepool Head to Head Results

15 stretnutí
Carlisle
8
wins
Drawn
3
Hartlepool
4
wins
Total goals
53 · 3.5/match
Both scored
11/15 · 73%
Over 2.5
13/15 · 87%

Recent Form

Carlisle

LWWWDD

Hartlepool

LWWLDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Carlisle dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Carlisle6wins
3draws10 meetings
Hartlepool1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.3

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (49%) — the odds may underestimate Carlisle.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 51.0%Draw 28.8%Away 23.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.953.254.15
Max1.983.604.20
Market favourite:Carlisle · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market49.3%27.2%23.5%
Public market49.9%27.0%23.1%

Carlisle vs Hartlepool — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Carlisle
Result vs. Market: Carlisle (51%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CarlisleHalf-time:00Hartlepool
8Shots9
4Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
24/01/23Carlisle3–1Hartlepool1.61/3.74/6.05
08/10/22Hartlepool1–3Carlisle3.10/3.24/2.38
18/01/22Carlisle0–0Hartlepool2.28/3.25/3.25
28/08/21Hartlepool2–1Carlisle2.58/3.20/2.81
15/10/16Carlisle3–2Hartlepool1.60/4.10/5.99
14/04/17Hartlepool1–1Carlisle2.82/3.40/2.59
29/08/15Hartlepool2–3Carlisle2.32/3.34/3.26
05/04/16Carlisle1–0Hartlepool1.96/3.48/4.18
04/10/14Hartlepool0–3Carlisle2.76/3.24/2.72
02/05/15Carlisle3–3Hartlepool2.53/3.40/2.87

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Away Record: Hartlepool

W 101D 77L 144
Over 2.546
Goals scored353

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026